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Paul Watts · Study
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Author
Paul Watts
11 works
· latest 2018
· 2 institutions
cluster: provisional
ORCID 0000-0002-7940-4387
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Citations
313
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Most cited in this library
Surprisingly rational: Probability theory plus noise explains biases in judgment.
2014 · 141 citations
People’s conditional probability judgments follow probability theory (plus noise)
2016 · 47 citations
Explaining High Conjunction Fallacy Rates: The Probability Theory Plus Noise Account
2016 · 46 citations
Invariants in probabilistic reasoning
2017 · 32 citations
Surprising rationality in probability judgment: Assessing two competing models
2017 · 24 citations
Works
11 shown
Probability Theory Plus Noise: Descriptive Estimation and Inferential Judgment
Topics in Cognitive Science
·
2018
·
2 authors
·
Open access
10
citations
Invariants in probabilistic reasoning
Cognitive Psychology
·
2017
·
2 authors
·
Open access
32
citations
Surprising rationality in probability judgment: Assessing two competing models
Cognition
·
2017
·
3 authors
·
Open access
24
citations
Mathematical invariants in people's probabilistic reasoning.
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2017
·
2 authors
0
citations
People’s conditional probability judgments follow probability theory (plus noise)
Cognitive Psychology
·
2016
·
2 authors
·
Open access
47
citations
Explaining High Conjunction Fallacy Rates: The Probability Theory Plus Noise Account
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
·
2016
·
2 authors
·
Open access
46
citations
A test of two models of probability judgment: quantum versus noisy probability.
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2016
·
2 authors
3
citations
A model of conditional probability judgment.
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2016
·
2 authors
0
citations
Probability theory plus noise: Replies to Crupi and Tentori (2016) and to Nilsson, Juslin, and Winman (2016).
Psychological Review
·
2015
·
2 authors
9
citations
Surprisingly rational: Probability theory plus noise explains biases in judgment.
Psychological Review
·
2014
·
2 authors
·
Open access
141
citations
Surprisingly Rational: Evidence that people follow probability theory when judging probabilities, and that biases in judgment are due to noise
arXiv (Cornell University)
·
2012
·
2 authors
·
preprint
·
Open access
1
citations