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Pavel Dimitrov Atanasov · Study
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Author
Pavel Dimitrov Atanasov
19 works
· latest 2023
· 1 institutions
cluster: provisional
ORCID 0000-0002-9963-7225
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Citations
980
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Most cited in this library
Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament
2014 · 310 citations
The psychology of intelligence analysis: Drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics.
2015 · 187 citations
Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls
2016 · 175 citations
Are culturally specific measures of trauma-related anxiety and depression needed? The case of Sri Lanka.
2012 · 64 citations
Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters
2020 · 45 citations
Works
19 shown
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events†
AI Magazine
·
2023
·
26 authors
·
Open access
25
citations
Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking” – CORRIGENDUM
Judgment and Decision Making
·
2023
·
4 authors
·
other
·
Open access
0
citations
Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences
Judgment and Decision Making
·
2021
·
3 authors
·
Open access
28
citations
Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
·
2020
·
5 authors
·
Open access
45
citations
Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just askingâ€
Judgment and Decision Making
·
2019
·
4 authors
·
Open access
12
citations
Comparing Risk Preferences in Choices for Self and Others: An Application of the Multiple Price Lottery Method
SSRN Electronic Journal
·
2019
·
1 author
·
preprint
·
Open access
1
citations
A Comparison of Choices for Self and Other under Uncertainty: General Introduction
SSRN Electronic Journal
·
2019
·
1 author
·
preprint
·
Open access
0
citations
Accountability and adaptive performance under uncertainty: A long-term view
Judgment and Decision Making
·
2017
·
5 authors
·
Open access
37
citations
Proper Proxy Scoring Rules
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
·
2017
·
4 authors
·
other
·
Open access
30
citations
Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls
Management Science
·
2016
·
8 authors
175
citations
The psychology of intelligence analysis: Drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics.
Journal of Experimental Psychology Applied
·
2015
·
9 authors
187
citations
Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets versus Prediction Polls
Academy of Management Proceedings
·
2015
·
7 authors
·
other
27
citations
Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament
Psychological Science
·
2014
·
13 authors
·
Open access
310
citations
Underinvestment in profitable opportunities
PsycEXTRA Dataset
·
2014
·
3 authors
·
dataset
0
citations
Fast & Frugal Forecasting for the Individual and the Crowd
PsycEXTRA Dataset
·
2013
·
4 authors
·
dataset
0
citations
Are culturally specific measures of trauma-related anxiety and depression needed? The case of Sri Lanka.
Psychological Assessment
·
2012
·
5 authors
·
Open access
64
citations
A comparison of risk preferences in choices for self and others
Scholarly Commons (University of Pennsylvania)
·
2012
·
1 author
·
thesis
0
citations
Leveling the playing field: Dishonesty in the face of threat
Journal of Economic Psychology
·
2011
·
2 authors
·
Open access
19
citations
Risk Preferences in Choices for Self and Others: Meta Analysis and Research Directions
SSRN Electronic Journal
·
2010
·
1 author
·
preprint
·
Open access
20
citations