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Matthew B. Welsh · Study
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Author
Matthew B. Welsh
41 works
· latest 2020
· 1 institutions
cluster: provisional
ORCID 0000-0002-3605-716X
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14
Citations
455
Works here
41
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Most cited in this library
Seeing is believing: Priors, trust, and base rate neglect
2012 · 75 citations
The Cognitive Reflection Test: how much more than Numerical Ability?
2013 · 57 citations
Uncertainty vs. Variability: What’s the Difference and Why is it Important?
2014 · 53 citations
Individual differences in anchoring: Traits and experience
2013 · 32 citations
Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation
2005 · 27 citations
Works
41 shown
Can 1 h of training lead to better project decision-making?
EURO Journal on Decision Processes
·
2020
·
3 authors
1
citations
Overconfident in Hindsight: Memory, Hindsight Bias and Overconfidence.
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2020
·
1 author
·
other
·
Open access
1
citations
Expertise and Anchoring Bias in Medical Decision Making.
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2019
·
4 authors
0
citations
Why are decisions for oil and gas projects not always made the way they ‘should’ be?
The APPEA Journal
·
2018
·
3 authors
3
citations
More-or-less elicitation (MOLE): reducing bias in range estimation and forecasting
EURO Journal on Decision Processes
·
2018
·
2 authors
6
citations
Bias in Science and Communication
Institute of Physics eBooks
·
2018
·
1 author
·
book
3
citations
The Cognitive Reflection Test: familiarity and predictive power in professionals
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2017
·
2 authors
·
other
2
citations
What have we learned? Insights from a decade of bias research
The APPEA Journal
·
2016
·
2 authors
7
citations
Predicting overprecision in range estimation
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2016
·
3 authors
·
other
·
Open access
4
citations
Uncertainty vs. Variability: What’s the Difference and Why is it Important?
SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium
·
2014
·
3 authors
·
other
53
citations
Individual differences in anchoring: Traits and experience
Learning and Individual Differences
·
2013
·
4 authors
32
citations
The Cognitive Reflection Test: how much more than Numerical Ability?
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2013
·
3 authors
·
Open access
57
citations
Personal ruin versus corporate profit: why individual risk attitudes lessen economic outcomes
The APPEA Journal
·
2012
·
1 author
0
citations
Seeing is believing: Priors, trust, and base rate neglect
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
·
2012
·
2 authors
75
citations
Expertise and the Wisdom of Crowds: Whose Judgments to Trust and When - eScholarship
Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society
·
2012
·
1 author
0
citations
Don't Drop the Anchor: Recognizing and Mitigating Human Factors When Making Assessment Judgments Under Uncertainty
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2011
·
3 authors
·
other
6
citations
Do personality traits affect decision-making ability: can MBTI type predict biases?
The APPEA Journal
·
2011
·
5 authors
4
citations
Number Preference, Precision and Implicit Confidence
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2011
·
3 authors
·
Open access
16
citations
Does anchoring cause overconfidence only in experts
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2011
·
4 authors
·
other
·
Open access
5
citations
Individual differences in anchoring: numerical ability, education and experience
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2011
·
4 authors
·
Open access
3
citations
Don't Let It Weigh You Down: How To Benefit From Anchoring
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2010
·
2 authors
·
other
6
citations
The planning fallacy in oil and gas decision-making
The APPEA Journal
·
2010
·
3 authors
1
citations
In What Sense is P(A|B) P(B) = P(A,B)? The Relationship between Distributional Format and Subjective Probability Estimates
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2010
·
4 authors
·
other
·
Open access
0
citations
Repeated judgments in elicitation tasks: efficacy of the MOLE method
eScholarship (California Digital Library)
·
2009
·
3 authors
·
Open access
3
citations
Cognitive Errors in Estimation: Does Anchoring Cause Overconfidence?
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2008
·
3 authors
·
other
10
citations
Modeling the Economic Impact of Individual and Corporate Risk Attitude
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2008
·
2 authors
·
other
8
citations
More-or-less elicitation (MOLE): Testing a heuristic elicitation method
·
2008
·
3 authors
5
citations
Does memory mediate susceptibility to cognitive biases? Implications of the decision-by-sampling theory
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2008
·
3 authors
·
other
·
Open access
4
citations
Modeling the Economic Impact of Cognitive Biases on Oil and Gas Decisions
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2007
·
3 authors
·
other
18
citations
Modeling the Economic Impact of Cognitive Biases on Oil and Gas Decisions
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2007
·
3 authors
·
other
14
citations
Efficacy of Bias Awareness in Debiasing Oil and Gas Judgments
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2007
·
3 authors
·
other
·
Open access
8
citations
Seeing is Believing: Priors, Trust, and Base Rate Neglect
·
2007
·
2 authors
1
citations
Correcting Common Errors in Probabilistic Evaluations: Efficacy of Debiasing
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2006
·
3 authors
·
other
5
citations
An Oil and Gas Decision-Making Taxonomy
SPE Asia Pacific Oil and Gas Conference and Exhibition
·
2006
·
3 authors
·
other
12
citations
Correcting Common Errors in Probabilistic Evaluations: Efficacy of Debiasing
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2006
·
2 authors
·
other
6
citations
Realizing the potential of decision-making under uncertainty
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2006
·
4 authors
·
other
0
citations
Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2005
·
3 authors
·
other
27
citations
Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2005
·
3 authors
·
other
13
citations
Problems with the Elicitation of Uncertainty
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2004
·
4 authors
·
other
12
citations
Problems with the Elicitation of Uncertainty
SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition
·
2004
·
4 authors
·
other
11
citations
Decision-Making on the Full Information Secretary Problem
Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide)
·
2004
·
3 authors
·
other
·
Open access
13
citations