Estimation of adult mortality from data on adult siblings

Abstract

This paper investigates both the characteristics and distribution of the age differences between an index individual and his or her siblings as a basis for the development of a simple regression-based method for estimating adult survivorship from data on the survival of a respondents adult siblings. Overall it is suggested that the performance of the adult sibling method has several advantages over existing methods for measuring adult mortality in countries with limited and defective data. The method is straightforward to apply and is based on simple questions that avoid making onerous demands of those who respond in demographic enquiries. In addition it provides a means for refining the procedure used to estimate maternal mortality from data on sisters who die while pregnant or during the postpartum period bearing on the existing literature on the mathematical demography of kinship. However like any other indirect method the results do not yield the detailed information on time trends and age patterns of adult mortality that are provided by accurate direct data.

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