A New Direction: Our Changing Relationship with Driving and the Implications for America’s Future

Abstract

This paper discusses the change in driving habits over the last decade, and what that means for transportation planning and policy in the present and the future. Mode choice, residential location, driving alternatives, and possible future trends are discussed. The table of contents lists the following chapter headings: I. The End of the Driving Boom - a) The Rise in Driving from 1946-2004, b) The Crest of the Wave: Driving Trends in the 21st Century, c) Why the Driving Boom Is Over … and Why it’s not Coming Back; II. What Comes Next? How the Millennials Will Determine the Future of Transportation - a) The New Transportation Habits of the Millennials, b) Transportation and Lifestyle Preferences of the Millennials, c) The Mobile Technology Revolution, Millennials and Transportation; III. Americans Will Drive Less than Was Predicted a Few Years Ago. a) How Much Less Is Uncertain - b) Three Scenarios of Future Driving, c) Implications of Possible Futures; IV. The Implications of Changing Driving Trends: Opportunities and Challenges - a) Less Congestion, b) Reduced Fossil Fuel Consumption and Air Pollution, c) Reduced Expenditures for Highway Expansion and Maintenance, d) Reduced Revenue from the Gasoline Tax, e) Increased Risk for Public-Private Partnerships; V. A New Vision for Transportation Policy - a) Plan (and invest) for uncertainty, b) Support the desire of Millennials and other Americans to drive less, c) Revisit plans for new or expanded highways, d) Refocus the federal role, e) Use transportation revenue where it is most needed, f) Do our homework.

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