“The Dynamics of Energy Systems and the Logistic Substitution Model” (1979)

C. Marchetti, Nebojša Nakićenović, Paul Warde

2013-10-22chapterYale University Press eBooks269 citationsgreen

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Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting Energy, Environment, Economic Growth Global Energy and Sustainability Research

Abstract

This work is dedicated to the empirical testing and theoretical formulation of an invariant, the logistic learning curve, as it applies to the structural evolution of energy systems and systems related to energy, such as coal mining. The great success of the model in organizing past data, and the insensitivity to major political and economic perturbations of the structures obtained seem to lend great predictive power to this invariant.

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References

1961Technical Change and the Rate of Imitation

1971A simple substitution model of technological change

1925Studies in human biology

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