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Subjective Probability and Its Measurement
16 references·16 citing·40 second hopsampled
Subjective Probability and Its Measurement (1973)Subjective Probability and Its MeasurementDecision, Order and Time in Human Affairs (1970)Decision, Order and Time in H…Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty. (1969)Decision Analysis: Introducto…Analysis of decisions under uncertainty (1969)Analysis of decisions under u…The Theory of Syndicates (1968)The Theory of SyndicatesRisky and cautious shifts in group decisions: The influence of widely held values (1968)Risky and cautious shifts in …Additivity, utility, and subjective probability (1967)Additivity, utility, and subj…Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. (1966)Conservatism in a simple prob…An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts (1963)An Experimental Application o…Subjective probabilities inferred from decisions. (1962)Subjective probabilities infe…Group influence on individual risk taking. (1962)Group influence on individual…Applied Statistical Decision Theory (1962)Applied Statistical Decision …A comparison of individual and group decisions involving risk (1961)A comparison of individual an…A theory of data. (1960)A theory of data.The theory of decision making. (1954)The theory of decision making.Deviation, rejection, and communication. (1951)Deviation, rejection, and com…An Experimental Study of the Auction-Value of an Uncertain Outcome (1948)An Experimental Study of the …Subjective Probability Correction for Uncertainty Representations (2023)Subjective Probability Correc…I know what you're probably going to say: Listener adaptation to variable use of uncertainty expressions (2020)I know what you're probably g…Uncertainty and uncertainty analysis methods (2011)Uncertainty and uncertainty a…Problems with scoring methods and ordinal scales in risk assessment (2010)Problems with scoring methods…Judgments under Uncertainty (2005)Judgments under UncertaintyElicitation of subjective probabilities for economic risk analysis: An investigation (1993)Elicitation of subjective pro…A review of expert judgment techniques with reference to nuclear safety (1992)A review of expert judgment t…Subjective Probabilities and Scoring Rules: Experimental Evidence (1989)Subjective Probabilities and …Empirical comparison of subjective probability elicitation methods* (1988)Empirical comparison of subje…Fertilization under Uncertainty: An Analysis Based on Producer Yield Expectations (1987)Fertilization under Uncertain…On the axiomatisation of subjective probabilities (1982)On the axiomatisation of subj…The Valuation of Decision Analysis (1978)The Valuation of Decision Ana…Subjective Probability Elicitation Techniques: A Performance Comparison (1978)Subjective Probability Elicit…Comparison of five methods for estimating subjective probability distributions (1977)Comparison of five methods fo…Multiobjective investment planning under uncertainty (1975)Multiobjective investment pla…Measuring uncertainty (1975)Measuring uncertaintyRisk Aversion in the Small and in the Large (1976)Moral Hazard and Observability (1979)Optimal contracts and competitive markets with costly state verification (1979)Signaling in Retrospect and the Informational Structure of Markets (2002)The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk (1948)Le Comportement de l'Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l'Ecole Americaine (1953)Rational choice and the structure of the environment. (1956)A Protection Motivation Theory of Fear Appeals and Attitude Change1 (1975)From Intentions to Actions: A Theory of Planned Behavior (1985)Theory of games and economic behavior (2019)Theory and Methods of Scaling (1958)Individual Choice Behavior: A Theoretical Analysis. (1960)A Directional Theory of Issue Voting (1989)Assessing subjective well-being: Progress and opportunities (1994)Validation Guidelines for IS Positivist Research (2004)Multiple Factor Analysis (2007)Middletown; a study in contemporary American culture. (1929)Overcoming Resistance to Change (1948)A Theory of Social Comparison Processes (1954)The Jack-Roller (1966)Social Exchange Theory (1976)The need to belong: Desire for interpersonal attachments as a fundamental human motivation. (1995)Political Risk: A Review and Reconsideration (1979)Rationality, foolishness, and adaptive intelligence (2006)Imagined futures: fictional expectations in the economy (2013)The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis (1999)The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications (2004)The Delphi Technique: Making Sense of Consensus (2020)A Bayesian analysis of attribution processes. (1975)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)The Effects of Financial Incentives in Experiments: A Review and Capital-Labor-Production Framework (1999)The group as a polarizer of attitudes. (1969)Group polarization: A critical review and meta-analysis. (1986)Reconceptualizing the Determinants of Risk Behavior (1992)The Economic Theory of Agency: The Principal's Problem. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return (1987)Bayesian Experimental Design: A Review (1995)
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References

  • 1963An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts6,052 cited
  • 1954The theory of decision making.2,708 cited
  • 1962Applied Statistical Decision Theory2,172 cited
  • 1969Decision Analysis: Introductory Lectures on Choices Under Uncertainty.1,928 cited
  • 1960A theory of data.1,556 cited
  • 1968The Theory of Syndicates1,178 cited
  • 1951Deviation, rejection, and communication.1,165 cited
  • 1966Conservatism in a simple probability inference task.856 cited
  • 1970Decision, Order and Time in Human Affairs476 cited
  • 1968Risky and cautious shifts in group decisions: The influence of widely held values448 cited
  • 1961A comparison of individual and group decisions involving risk437 cited
  • 1962Group influence on individual risk taking.422 cited
  • 1962Subjective probabilities inferred from decisions.336 cited
  • 1948An Experimental Study of the Auction-Value of an Uncertain Outcome326 cited
  • 1969Analysis of decisions under uncertainty290 cited
  • 1967Additivity, utility, and subjective probability280 cited

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Cited by

  • 2010Problems with scoring methods and ordinal scales in risk assessment103 cited
  • 1987Fertilization under Uncertainty: An Analysis Based on Producer Yield Expectations68 cited
  • 1978The Valuation of Decision Analysis53 cited
  • 1977Comparison of five methods for estimating subjective probability distributions47 cited
  • 2011Uncertainty and uncertainty analysis methods39 cited
  • 1989Subjective Probabilities and Scoring Rules: Experimental Evidence38 cited
  • 2020I know what you're probably going to say: Listener adaptation to variable use of uncertainty expressions37 cited
  • 1992A review of expert judgment techniques with reference to nuclear safety34 cited
  • 1975Multiobjective investment planning under uncertainty34 cited
  • 1978Subjective Probability Elicitation Techniques: A Performance Comparison29 cited
  • 2005Judgments under Uncertainty22 cited
  • 1975Measuring uncertainty20 cited
  • 1993Elicitation of subjective probabilities for economic risk analysis: An investigation20 cited
  • 1982On the axiomatisation of subjective probabilities16 cited
  • 2023Subjective Probability Correction for Uncertainty Representations14 cited
  • 1988Empirical comparison of subjective probability elicitation methods*14 cited