The theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale

Alexander Harin

1 citations0/0 files storedRePEc: Research Papers in Economics

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Probability and Statistical Research Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

Abstract

A theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proven. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

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