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Boundaries of Predictability: Noisy Predictive Regressions
16 references·3 citing·42 second hop
Boundaries of Predictability: Noisy Predictive Regressions (2000)Boundaries of Predictability: Noisy Predi…Implementing Statistical Criteria to Select Return Forecasting Models: What Do We Learn? (1999)Implementing Statistical Crit…Inference in Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors (1995)Inference in Models with Near…Testing the Predictive Power of Dividend Yields (1993)Testing the Predictive Power …Exactly Median-Unbiased Estimation of First Order Autoregressive/Unit Root Models (1993)Exactly Median-Unbiased Estim…A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems (1993)A Simple Estimator of Cointeg…Convergence to Stochastic Integrals for Dependent Heterogeneous Processes (1992)Convergence to Stochastic Int…A VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION FOR STOCK RETURNS (1990)A VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION FOR …Testing for a Random Walk: A Simulation Experiment of Power When the Sampling Interval is Varied (1989)Testing for a Random Walk: A …Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series (1988)Trends and random walks in ma…Tests For Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation (1988)Tests For Unit Roots: A Monte…How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP? (1988)How Big Is the Random Walk in…Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications (1987)Mean Reversion in Stock Price…Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics (1986)Understanding spurious regres…The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1986)The Dividend-Price Ratio and …Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values? (1986)Does the Stock Market Rationa…Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Power versus Frequency of Observation (1985)Testing the Random Walk Hypot…Predictability of Equity Returns over Different Time Horizons: A Nonparametric Approach (2016)Predictability of Equity Retu…Can Noise Create Size and Value Effects? (2011)Can Noise Create Size and Val…A New Look at the Forward Premium Puzzle (2009)A New Look at the Forward Pre…Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1979)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root (1992)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction (1990)Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach (1991)Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles (2000)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models (1995)An Autoregressive Distributed-Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis (2012)Modelling Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Framework (2014)Stock Returns and the Term Structure (1985)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns (1992)Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting (2003)Time-Varying Risk Premiums and the Output Gap (2008)Forecasting stock market returns: The sum of the parts is more than the whole (2011)Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control. (1971)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data (1993)Forecasting Economic Time Series (2000)Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case (2002)PANEL COINTEGRATION: ASYMPTOTIC AND FINITE SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF POOLED TIME SERIES TESTS WITH AN APPLICATION TO THE PPP HYPOTHESIS (2004)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Stock Volatility and the Crash of '87 (1989)The econometrics of financial markets (1996)Investor Sentiment and Asset Valuation (2005)Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test (1988)The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors (1988)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns (2001)Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk (2001)Presidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends (1988)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? (1989)Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties (2002)
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References

  • 1993A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems5,042 cited
  • 1988Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series2,433 cited
  • 1986The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors2,425 cited
  • 1987Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications1,875 cited
  • 1990A VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION FOR STOCK RETURNS1,822 cited
  • 1986Understanding spurious regressions in econometrics1,782 cited
  • 1988How Big Is the Random Walk in GNP?1,270 cited
  • 1988Tests For Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation1,244 cited
  • 1986Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values?1,149 cited
  • 1999Implementing Statistical Criteria to Select Return Forecasting Models: What Do We Learn?533 cited
  • 1985Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Power versus Frequency of Observation475 cited
  • 1993Exactly Median-Unbiased Estimation of First Order Autoregressive/Unit Root Models470 cited
  • 1993Testing the Predictive Power of Dividend Yields376 cited
  • 1995Inference in Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors370 cited
  • 1992Convergence to Stochastic Integrals for Dependent Heterogeneous Processes

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341 cited
  • 1989Testing for a Random Walk: A Simulation Experiment of Power When the Sampling Interval is Varied111 cited
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    • 2009A New Look at the Forward Premium Puzzle30 cited
    • 2011Can Noise Create Size and Value Effects?27 cited
    • 2016Predictability of Equity Returns over Different Time Horizons: A Nonparametric Approach23 cited