Money Growth Variability and GNP

Michael T. Belongia

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic Theory and Policy Economic theories and models

Abstract

Michael T. Belongia explains the sequence of events through which short-run fluctuations in M1 growth make future economic conditions more uncertain and, thus, cause reductions in the growth of GNP. Belongia investigates the impact of variable money growth on GNP by estimating a variant of the St. Louis equation that incorporates directly a measure of the variability of money growth.

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References

1964A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960 1963Money and Business Cycles 1968Monetary and Fiscal Actions: A Test of Their Relative Importance in Economic Stabilization 1986Monetary and Fiscal Actions: A Test of Their Relative Importance in Economic Stabilization 1978Does the St. Louis Equation Now Believe in Fiscal Policy?1979The Demand for Money and the Variability of the Rate of Inflation: Some Empirical Results 1983Polynomial Distributed Lags and the Estimation of the St. Louis Equation 2017Money and Business Cycles

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1984Interest Rate Variability: Its Link to the Variability of Monetary Growth and Economic Performance 2008The Output Effects of Money Growth Uncertainty: Evidence from a Multivariate GARCH-in-Mean VAR

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