Technological transformations and long waves

Robert U. Ayres

96 citations0/0 files storedIIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis)

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Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting Economic Growth and Productivity Economic Development and Digital Transformation

Abstract

In this report the major technological transformations which have occurred over the past two centuries are discussed and an assessment of the evidence that these transformations are related to clusters of interrelated innovations is given.

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References

1970The unbound prometheus : technological change and industrial development in Western Europe from 1750 to the present 1982Patterns of Technological Innovation 1987Technology and Economic Development.1984Innovation and growth 1987Innovation Patterns in Crisis and Prosperity: Schumpeter’s Long Cycle Reconsidered

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2011Logistic substitution model and technological forecasting 1991Diffusion: Long-term Patterns and Discontinuities 2010Foresight of technological determinants and primary energy resources of future economic long waves 1994Opportunity, opportunism, and progress:Kairos in the rhetoric of technology 1991Diffusion 2015Knowledge-generating efficiency in innovation systems: The acceleration of technological paradigm changes with increasing complexity 2005Innovation in Power Semiconductor Industry: Past and Future 1993Are long waves driven by techno-economic transformations?

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