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This handbook is intended to provide decision makers and their staffs (current or potential) with an introduction to the basic concepts and operations of decision analysis. Decision analysis is a quantitative method which permits the systematic evaluation of the costs or benefits accruing to courses of action that might be taken in a decision problem. It entails identification of the alternative choices involved, the assignment of values (costs/benefits) for possible outcomes, and the expression of the probability of those outcomes being realized. With this information at hand, one can then systematically combine the values and probabilities to show the probable gain or loss that is associated with alternative choices.
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