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Cross-calibration of probabilistic forecasts
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Cross-calibration of probabilistic forecasts (2017)Cross-calibration of probabilistic foreca…Probabilistic Forecasting (2014)Probabilistic ForecastingCombining predictive distributions (2013)Combining predictive distribu…Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness (2010)Evaluating density forecasts:…Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules (2010)Comparing Density Forecasts U…Combining Probability Forecasts (2010)Combining Probability Forecas…Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores (2009)Reliability, sufficiency, and…On the distributional transform, Sklar's theorem, and the empirical copula process (2009)On the distributional transfo…Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Strictly Proper Scoring Rules…Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness (2007)Probabilistic Forecasts, Cali…Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation* (2005)Evaluating, Comparing and Com…A Review of Backtesting and Backtesting Procedures (2005)A Review of Backtesting and B…Evaluating the Bank of England Density Forecasts of Inflation (2004)Evaluating the Bank of Englan…Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England’s fan charts (2002)Chi-squared tests of interval…Testing Density Forecasts, With Applications to Risk Management (2001)Testing Density Forecasts, Wi…Coherent dispersion criteria for optimal experimental design (1999)Coherent dispersion criteria …Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management (1998)Evaluating Density Forecasts …Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Forecasting: theory and pract…The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options (1993)Coherent Measures of Risk (1999)MODELLING ASYMMETRIC EXCHANGE RATE DEPENDENCE* (2006)Basel Committee On Banking Supervision (2010)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Evaluating Interval Forecasts (1998)Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts (2011)Generación de series de tiempo financieras sintéticas para "data augmentation" usando redes neuronales generativas adversarias (GAN) (2021)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review (2022)Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Copula Methods for Forecasting Multivariate Time Series (2013)COHERENCE AND ELICITABILITY (2014)An Introduction to Copulas (1999)Copula Theory: An Introduction (2010)Multivariate Frequency-Severity Regression Models in Insurance (2016)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and inference in dynamic models with time-varying covariances (1992)Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility (2003)Multivariate GARCH models: a survey (2006)Fuzzy sets (1965)Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)User Acceptance of Computer Technology: A Comparison of Two Theoretical Models (1989)Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature Survey (2022)Forecast evaluation for data scientists: common pitfalls and best practices (2022)Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts with scoringRules (2019)
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References

  • 2007Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation5,848 cited
  • 2007Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness1,793 cited
  • 1998Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management1,452 cited
  • 2014Probabilistic Forecasting924 cited
  • 2001Testing Density Forecasts, With Applications to Risk Management859 cited
  • 2010Comparing Density Forecasts Using Threshold- and Quantile-Weighted Scoring Rules510 cited
  • 2009On the distributional transform, Sklar's theorem, and the empirical copula process259 cited
  • 2010Combining Probability Forecasts227 cited
  • 2013Combining predictive distributions216 cited
  • 2005Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation*208 cited
  • 1999Coherent dispersion criteria for optimal experimental design162 cited
  • 2002Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England’s fan charts157 cited
  • 2010Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness146 cited
  • 2005A Review of Backtesting and Backtesting Procedures126 cited
  • 2004Evaluating the Bank of England Density Forecasts of Inflation

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124 cited
  • 2009Reliability, sufficiency, and the decomposition of proper scores120 cited
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    • 2022Forecasting: theory and practice1,041 cited