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The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight?
16 references·3 citing·39 second hop
The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Good Things Come to Those Who Weight? (2014)The Aggregation of Expert Judgment: Do Go…Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools (2013)Making Hard Decisions with De…The Delphi technique: Past, present, and future prospects — Introduction to the special issue (2011)The Delphi technique: Past, p…Expert Status and Performance (2011)Expert Status and PerformanceA route to more tractable expert advice (2010)A route to more tractable exp…TU Delft expert judgment data base (2007)TU Delft expert judgment data…Reckoning with risk: Learning to live with uncertainty (2002)Reckoning with risk: Learning…Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis (1999)Combining Probability Distrib…EXPERT AND EXCEPTIONAL PERFORMANCE: Evidence of Maximal Adaptation to Task Constraints (1996)EXPERT AND EXCEPTIONAL PERFOR…Assessing the quality of expert judgment (1994)Assessing the quality of expe…Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science (1992)Experts in uncertainty: opini…Experts In Uncertainty (1991)Experts In UncertaintyCalibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues (1991)Calibration and probability j…Uncertainty (1990)UncertaintyEliciting and analyzing expert judgment: A practical guide (1990)Eliciting and analyzing exper…External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score (1982)External correspondence: Deco…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Boosting the Wisdom of Crowds Within a Single Judgment Problem: Weighted Averaging Based on Peer Predictions (2023)Boosting the Wisdom of Crowds…What to tell? Wise communication and wise crowd (2020)What to tell? Wise communicat…Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selection and Elicitation Design on Experts’ Confidence in Their Judgments About Future Energy Technologies (2016)Quantifying the Effects of Ex…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1983)How we know--and sometimes misjudge--what others know: Imputing one's own knowledge to others. (1999)Self-Efficacy, Motivation Constructs, and Mathematics Performance of Entering Middle School Students (1999)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)the delphi method: techniques and applications (1975)The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications (1976)A Typology of Public Engagement Mechanisms (2005)The Delphi technique in ecology and biological conservation: applications and guidelines (2015)EL MÉTODO DELPHI EN LA INVESTIGACIÓN ACTUAL EN EDUCACIÓN: UNA REVISIÓN TEÓRICA Y METODOLÓGICA (2017)Increasing global supply chains’ resilience after the COVID-19 pandemic: Empirical results from a Delphi study (2022)Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms (1961)Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities (1996)Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? An Experimental Comparison of Observation and Cheap Talk (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The role of deliberate practice in the acquisition of expert performance. (1993)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)LIFESPAN PSYCHOLOGY: Theory and Application to Intellectual Functioning (1999)Wisdom: A metaheuristic (pragmatic) to orchestrate mind and virtue toward excellence. (2000)The Influence of Experience and Deliberate Practice on the Development of Superior Expert Performance (2006)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Agreeing to Disagree (1976)Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures (2003)Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy (2014)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Subjective Probability Assessment in Decision Analysis: Partition Dependence and Bias Toward the Ignorance Prior (2005)An application of the TODIM method to the multicriteria rental evaluation of residential properties (2007)A framework for sensitivity analysis of decision trees (2017)Latin hypercube sampling and the propagation of uncertainty in analyses of complex systems (2003)The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning (2005)Survey of sampling-based methods for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis (2006)Risk Perception and Communication Unplugged: Twenty Years of Process1 (1995)Identification and Review of Sensitivity Analysis Methods (2002)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)
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References

  • 1996EXPERT AND EXCEPTIONAL PERFORMANCE: Evidence of Maximal Adaptation to Task Constraints2,136 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1990Uncertainty1,711 cited
  • 1991Experts In Uncertainty1,171 cited
  • 1992Experts in uncertainty: opinion and subjective probability in science1,129 cited
  • 1999Combining Probability Distributions From Experts in Risk Analysis824 cited
  • 2013Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools749 cited
  • 1991Calibration and probability judgements: Conceptual and methodological issues550 cited
  • 1982External correspondence: Decompositions of the mean probability score428 cited
  • 2011The Delphi technique: Past, present, and future prospects — Introduction to the special issue411 cited
  • 2002Reckoning with risk: Learning to live with uncertainty342 cited
  • 2010A route to more tractable expert advice333 cited
  • 2007TU Delft expert judgment data base319 cited
  • 2011Expert Status and Performance315 cited
  • 1990Eliciting and analyzing expert judgment: A practical guide223 cited
  • 1994Assessing the quality of expert judgment

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168 cited

Cited by

  • 2016Quantifying the Effects of Expert Selection and Elicitation Design on Experts’ Confidence in Their Judgments About Future Energy Technologies34 cited
  • 2023Boosting the Wisdom of Crowds Within a Single Judgment Problem: Weighted Averaging Based on Peer Predictions32 cited
  • 2020What to tell? Wise communication and wise crowd0 cited