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An Introduction to the Ecb's Survey of Professional Forecasters
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An Introduction to the Ecb's Survey of Professional Forecasters (2005)An Introduction to the Ecb's Survey of Pr…Different methods elicit different belief distributions. (2024)Different methods elicit diff…Forecaster (Mis-)Behavior (2022)Forecaster (Mis-)BehaviorComparing predictive accuracy in small samples using fixed‐smoothing asymptotics (2020)Comparing predictive accuracy…A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area (2020)A Closer Look at the Behavior…The eurozone (expected) inflation: An option's eyes view (2018)The eurozone (expected) infla…Inflation News and Euro Area Inflation Expectations (2018)Inflation News and Euro Area …Professional forecasters and real-time forecasting with a DSGE model (2014)Professional forecasters and …DID THE INTRODUCTION OF THE EURO HAVE AN IMPACT ON INFLATION UNCERTAINTY?—AN EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENT (2013)DID THE INTRODUCTION OF THE E…The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (2012)The Measurement and Behavior …Inflation Risks and Inflation Risk Premia (2010)Inflation Risks and Inflation…Transparency and governance (2008)Transparency and governanceThe ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF): A Review after Eight Years' Experience (2007)The ECB Survey of Professiona…The Bank Lending Survey for the Euro Area (2005)The Bank Lending Survey for t…A No-Arbitrage Vector Autoregression of Term Structure Dynamics with Macroeconomic and Latent Variables (1999)In!ation forecast uncertainty (2003)New-Keynesian Macroeconomics and the Term Structure (2005)Inflation expectations from index-linked bonds: Correcting for liquidity and inflation risk premia (2011)Delphic and Odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro area (2018)International Yield Comovements (2022)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, by John Maynard Keynes (1936)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Monetary Policy Rules (1999)Analysis of Revisions to General Economic Statistics (2007)Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information (1981)Supply Tightening or Lack of Demand? An Analysis of Credit Developments During the Lehman Brothers and the Sovereign Debt Crises (2013)Credit Growth and Bank Capital Requirements: Binding or Not? (2014)Corporate investment and bank-dependent borrowers during the recent financial crisis (2017)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Estimating Time Varying Risk Premia in the Term Structure: The Arch-M Model (1987)The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks (2009)How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists? (2011)Disagreement in expectations and the credibility of monetary authorities in the Brazilian inflation targeting regime (2016)Measuring Economic Uncertainty and Its Effects (2017)Investment, Capacity Utilization and the Real Business Cycle (1986)An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area (2003)Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach (2007)Short-term forecasting of GDP with a DSGE model augmented by monthly indicators (2014)Data revisions and DSGE models (2016)Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound (2017)Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples (2017)Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys (2018)Measurement of Economic Forecast Accuracy: A Systematic Overview of the Empirical Literature (2021)Sticky Information versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (2002)Implications of rational inattention (2003)The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks (2007)Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage (2019)Inflation target credibility in times of high inflation (2022)Balance of Risks and the Anchoring of Consumer Expectations (2023)Evolution and the Theory of Games (1982)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Over-reaction in Macroeconomic Expectations (2018)Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data (2021)Myopia and Anchoring (2021)The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions (1933)Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy? (1997)Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? (2007)An Area Wide Model (Awm) for the Euro Area (2003)How transparant are Central Banks? (2006)Central Bank Transparency: Where, Why, and with What Effects? (2007)Central Bank Independence and Economic Performance (2009)Policymakers' Votes and Predictability of Monetary Policy (2010)EMU: Old Flaws Revisited (2015)
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Cited by

  • 2022Forecaster (Mis-)Behavior67 cited
  • 2005The Bank Lending Survey for the Euro Area61 cited
  • 2007The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF): A Review after Eight Years' Experience53 cited
  • 2020Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples using fixed‐smoothing asymptotics51 cited
  • 2020A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area43 cited
  • 2014Professional forecasters and real-time forecasting with a DSGE model39 cited
  • 2010Inflation Risks and Inflation Risk Premia37 cited
  • 2012The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters31 cited
  • 2018The eurozone (expected) inflation: An option's eyes view17 cited
  • 2008Transparency and governance17 cited
  • 2018Inflation News and Euro Area Inflation Expectations13 cited
  • 2013DID THE INTRODUCTION OF THE EURO HAVE AN IMPACT ON INFLATION UNCERTAINTY?—AN EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENT11 cited
  • 2024Different methods elicit different belief distributions.3 cited

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