References

• 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
• 1997Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors2,103 cited
• 1989New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators1,795 cited
• 1991The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity1,739 cited
• 2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models1,178 cited
• 1997The predictive power of the term structure of interest rates in Europe and the United States: Implications for the European Central Bank537 cited
• 2000Testing for structural change in conditional models465 cited
• 2003How Stable is the Predictive Power of the Yield Curve? Evidence from Germany and the United States348 cited
• 2005Why Does the Yield Curve Predict Output and Inflation?329 cited
• 1992A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience276 cited
• 2009Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts Using a Large Realtime Dataset241 cited
• 2006The Yield Curve and Predicting Recessions223 cited
• 2004Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies?218 cited
• 2009Can the Term Spread Predict Output Growth and Recessions? A Survey of the Literature214 cited
• 1998