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Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic Forecasting
10 references·16 citing·46 second hop
Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic Forecasting (2008)Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic …Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts (2006)Term Structure Estimation wit…Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts (2005)Term Structure Estimation wit…Combining Density and Interval Forecasts: A Modest Proposal* (2005)Combining Density and Interva…Inflation Forecast Uncertainty (2003)Inflation Forecast UncertaintyA real-time data set for macroeconomists (2001)A real-time data set for macr…Evaluating Density Forecasts of Inflation: The Survey of Professional Forecasters (1999)Evaluating Density Forecasts …Introducing: The Survey of Professional Forecasters (1993)Introducing: The Survey of Pr…Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance (1992)Twenty-two Years of the NBER-…Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction (1987)Consensus and Uncertainty in …Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction (1983)Consensus and Uncertainty in …The term structure and inflation uncertainty (2020)The term structure and inflat…Have commodities become a financial asset? Evidence from ten years of Financialization (2020)Have commodities become a fin…A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area (2020)A Closer Look at the Behavior…Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage (2019)Five dimensions of the uncert…Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors (2018)Modeling Time-Varying Uncerta…The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles (2017)The uncertainty multiplier an…The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks (2016)The Macroeconomic Impact of F…The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks (2016)The Macroeconomic Impact of F…The Measurement and Characteristics of Professional Forecasters' Uncertainty (2014)The Measurement and Character…The design and communication of systematic monetary policy strategies (2014)The design and communication …FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations (2014)FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Poi…Forecast Uncertainty—Ex AnteandEx Post: U.S. Inflation and Output Growth (2013)Forecast Uncertainty—Ex Antea…Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents’ forecasts (2009)Explanations of the inconsist…Learning, Expectations Formation, and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy (2008)Learning, Expectations Format…The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF): A Review after Eight Years' Experience (2007)The ECB Survey of Professiona…The bond market term premium: what is it, and how can we measure it? 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this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 2001A real-time data set for macroeconomists787 cited
  • 2003Inflation Forecast Uncertainty386 cited
  • 1987Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction361 cited
  • 1983Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction324 cited
  • 1993Introducing: The Survey of Professional Forecasters289 cited
  • 1992Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance210 cited
  • 2006Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts170 cited
  • 2005Combining Density and Interval Forecasts: A Modest Proposal*155 cited
  • 1999Evaluating Density Forecasts of Inflation: The Survey of Professional Forecasters151 cited
  • 2005Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts144 cited

Cited by

  • 2013Forecast Uncertainty—Ex AnteandEx Post: U.S. Inflation and Output Growth105 cited
  • 2020Have commodities become a financial asset? Evidence from ten years of Financialization92 cited
  • 2014The Measurement and Characteristics of Professional Forecasters' Uncertainty85 cited
  • 2009Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents’ forecasts69 cited
  • 2007

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF): A Review after Eight Years' Experience
53 cited
  • 2016The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks52 cited
  • 2018Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors49 cited
  • 2007The bond market term premium: what is it, and how can we measure it?48 cited
  • 2008Learning, Expectations Formation, and the Pitfalls of Optimal Control Monetary Policy45 cited
  • 2020A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area43 cited
  • 2020The term structure and inflation uncertainty42 cited
  • 2019Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage42 cited
  • 2014FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations38 cited
  • 2016The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks38 cited
  • 2017The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles35 cited
  • 2014The design and communication of systematic monetary policy strategies33 cited