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Overconfidence of professionals and lay men: Individual differences within and between tasks?
16 references·16 citing·39 second hopsampled
Overconfidence of professionals and lay men: Individual differences within and between tasks? (2004)Overconfidence of professionals and lay m…Judgemental Overconfidence, Self-Monitoring, and Trading Performance in an Experimental Financial Market (2005)Judgemental Overconfidence, S…Do Professional Traders Exhibit Myopic Loss Aversion? An Experimental Analysis (2005)Do Professional Traders Exhib…The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory (2002)The Calibration of Expert Jud…Simultaneous Over- and Underconfidence: Evidence from Experimental Asset Markets (2002)Simultaneous Over- and Underc…The Psychology of Financial Decision-Making: Applications to Trading, Dealing, and Investment Analysis (2001)The Psychology of Financial D…Knowledge Calibration: What Consumers Know and What They Think They Know (2000)Knowledge Calibration: What C…Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask (1999)Overconfidence: It Depends on…Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)Volume, Volatility, Price, an…Aggressiveness and survival of overconfident traders (1998)Aggressiveness and survival o…A portrait of the individual investor (1998)A portrait of the individual …Illusion of control: A meta-analytic review. (1996)Illusion of control: A meta-a…Determinants of Overconfidence and Miscalibration: The Roles of Random Error and Ecological Structure (1996)Determinants of Overconfidenc…How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases” (1991)How to Make Cognitive Illusio…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Unrealistic optimism about future life events. (1980)Unrealistic optimism about fu…The illusion of control. (1975)The illusion of control.Overconfidence and narcissism among the upper echelons: a systematic literature review (2020)Overconfidence and narcissism…Losing Face and Sinking Costs: Experimental Evidence on the Judgment of Political and Military Leaders (2015)Losing Face and Sinking Costs…Overconfidence, experience, and professionalism: An experimental study (2012)Overconfidence, experience, a…Overconfidence Among Professional Investors: Evidence from Mutual Fund Managers (2011)Overconfidence Among Professi…Limited and Varying Consumer Attention: Evidence from Shocks to the Salience of Bank Overdraft Fees (2011)Limited and Varying Consumer …Investors’ trading activity: A behavioural perspective and empirical results (2011)Investors’ trading activity: …Financial Overconfidence Over Time - Foresight, Hindsight, and Insight of Investors (2011)Financial Overconfidence Over…Do positive illusions predict overconfidence in judgment? A test using interval production and probability evaluation measures of miscalibration (2010)Do positive illusions predict…Confirmation Bias, Overconfidence, and Investment Performance: Evidence from Stock Message Boards (2010)Confirmation Bias, Overconfid…Financial capability: a behavioural economics perspective (2008)Financial capability: a behav…An Experimental Test of the Impact of Overconfidence and Gender on Trading Activity (2008)An Experimental Test of the I…On the Trend Recognition and Forecasting Ability of Professional Traders (2007)On the Trend Recognition and …Framing Effects in Stock Market Forecasts: The Difference Between Asking for Prices and Asking for Returns (2007)Framing Effects in Stock Mark…Cross-cultural overconfidence and biased self-attribution (2007)Cross-cultural overconfidence…The impact of experience on risk taking, overconfidence, and herding of fund managers: Complementary survey evidence (2005)The impact of experience on r…September 11 and Stock Return Expectations of Individual Investors (2005)September 11 and Stock Return…Craps and Magic (1967)Efficacy of the Theory of Planned Behaviour: A meta‐analytic review (2001)Trust and TAM in Online Shopping: An Integrated Model1 (2003)Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Market microstructure: A survey of microfoundations, empirical results, and policy implications (2005)Talk and Action: What Individual Investors Say and What They Do (2005)Behavioral Finance (2015)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Individual differences in adult decision-making competence. (2007)Managerial Miscalibration* (2013)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Gender Differences in Risk Aversion and Expected Retirement Benefits (2007)The Role of Corporate Reputation in Determining Investor Satisfaction and Loyalty (2007)Does Ownership Type Matter for Corporate Social Responsibility? (2012)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Optimism, coping, and health: Assessment and implications of generalized outcome expectancies. (1985)Hopelessness depression: A theory-based subtype of depression. (1989)Overconfidence and Excess Entry: An Experimental Approach (1999)Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. (1999)The Role of Representative Design in an Ecological Approach to Cognition. (2004)Understanding luxury consumption in China: Consumer perceptions of best-known brands (2011)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)On the reality of cognitive illusions. (1996)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Measuring Expectations (2004)Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice (1985)Gender Differences in Competition: Evidence\\ From a Matrilineal and a Patriarchal Society (2009)Strong Evidence for Gender Differences in Risk Taking (2011)Experimental methods: Eliciting risk preferences (2012)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)Do Investors Trade Too Much? (1999)
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References

  • 1980Unrealistic optimism about future life events.4,996 cited
  • 1975The illusion of control.3,843 cited
  • 1998Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average1,980 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1991How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases”1,160 cited
  • 2000Knowledge Calibration: What Consumers Know and What They Think They Know829 cited
  • 1999Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask786 cited
  • 2005Do Professional Traders Exhibit Myopic Loss Aversion? An Experimental Analysis754 cited
  • 2005Judgemental Overconfidence, Self-Monitoring, and Trading Performance in an Experimental Financial Market506 cited
  • 1998A portrait of the individual investor462 cited
  • 1998Aggressiveness and survival of overconfident traders411 cited
  • 1996Illusion of control: A meta-analytic review.238 cited
  • 1996Determinants of Overconfidence and Miscalibration: The Roles of Random Error and Ecological Structure229 cited
  • 2001The Psychology of Financial Decision-Making: Applications to Trading, Dealing, and Investment Analysis172 cited
  • 2002Simultaneous Over- and Underconfidence: Evidence from Experimental Asset Markets

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151 cited
  • 2002The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory148 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2008An Experimental Test of the Impact of Overconfidence and Gender on Trading Activity335 cited
    • 2005The impact of experience on risk taking, overconfidence, and herding of fund managers: Complementary survey evidence240 cited
    • 2011Financial Overconfidence Over Time - Foresight, Hindsight, and Insight of Investors164 cited
    • 2008Financial capability: a behavioural economics perspective155 cited
    • 2011Investors’ trading activity: A behavioural perspective and empirical results139 cited
    • 2012Overconfidence, experience, and professionalism: An experimental study139 cited
    • 2015Losing Face and Sinking Costs: Experimental Evidence on the Judgment of Political and Military Leaders117 cited
    • 2011Overconfidence Among Professional Investors: Evidence from Mutual Fund Managers107 cited
    • 2005September 11 and Stock Return Expectations of Individual Investors96 cited
    • 2007Cross-cultural overconfidence and biased self-attribution92 cited
    • 2010Confirmation Bias, Overconfidence, and Investment Performance: Evidence from Stock Message Boards90 cited
    • 2011Limited and Varying Consumer Attention: Evidence from Shocks to the Salience of Bank Overdraft Fees89 cited
    • 2007Framing Effects in Stock Market Forecasts: The Difference Between Asking for Prices and Asking for Returns86 cited
    • 2010Do positive illusions predict overconfidence in judgment? A test using interval production and probability evaluation measures of miscalibration74 cited
    • 2007On the Trend Recognition and Forecasting Ability of Professional Traders74 cited
    • 2020Overconfidence and narcissism among the upper echelons: a systematic literature review63 cited