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A Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Sterling-Dollar Exchange Rate: 1981-84
16 references·16 citing·44 second hopsampled
A Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Sterling-Dollar Exchange Rate: 1981-84 (1986)A Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Ste…Can Small Deviations from Rationality Make Significant Differences to Economic Equilibria (2016)Can Small Deviations from Rat…Testing for Bubbles in Exchange Markets: A Case of Sparkling Rates? (1986)Testing for Bubbles in Exchan…The observable implications of self-fulfilling expectations (1985)The observable implications o…Risk Averse Speculation in the Forward Foreign Exchange Market: An Econometric Analysis of Linear Models (1983)Risk Averse Speculation in th…In search of the exchange risk premium: A six-currency test assuming mean-variance optimization (1982)In search of the exchange ris…On Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models: An Attempt at Perspective (1981)On Non-Uniqueness in Rational…The "Speculative Efficiency" Hypothesis (1980)The "Speculative Efficiency" …The ‘peso problem’ in testing the efficiency of forward exchange markets (1980)The ‘peso problem’ in testing…Money in International Exchange: The Convertible Currency System. (1980)Money in International Exchan…Market Fundamentals versus Price-Level Bubbles: The First Tests (1980)Market Fundamentals versus Pr…Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis (1980)Forward Exchange Rates as Opt…Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? (1980)Do Stock Prices Move Too Much…Speculative bubbles, crashes and rational expectations (1979)Speculative bubbles, crashes …Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises (1979)Manias, Panics, and Crashes: …THE FORWARD EXCHANGE RATE, EXPECTATIONS, AND DEMAND FOR MONEY: THE GERMAN HYPERINFLATION (1977)THE FORWARD EXCHANGE RATE, EX…Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics (1976)Expectations and Exchange Rat…When the Bubble Bursts: Monetary Policy Rules and Foreign Exchange Market Behavior (2017)When the Bubble Bursts: Monet…TESTING FOR SPECULATIVE BUBBLES USING SPOT AND FORWARD PRICES (2017)TESTING FOR SPECULATIVE BUBBL…Periodically collapsing bubbles in the South African stock market (2016)Periodically collapsing bubbl…Are there bubbles in the Sterling-dollar exchange rate? New evidence from sequential ADF tests (2013)Are there bubbles in the Ster…A Mathematical Theory of Financial Bubbles (2013)A Mathematical Theory of Fina…Overconfidence in Currency Markets (2008)Overconfidence in Currency Ma…A case study of speculative financial bubbles in the South African stock market 2003–2006 (2008)A case study of speculative f…Are There Rational Speculative Bubbles in REITs? (2006)Are There Rational Speculativ…The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity (2002)The Effectiveness of Fiscal P…Implications of Globalization for Monetary Policy (2001)Implications of Globalization…Are there rational speculative bubbles in Asian stock markets? (1998)Are there rational speculativ…Empirical exchange rate models and shifts in the co-integrating vector (1996)Empirical exchange rate model…Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity (1992)Deviations from Purchasing Po…Are Stock Returns Predictable? A Test Using Markov Chains (1991)Are Stock Returns Predictable…EXPECTATIONS, RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET: SOME RESULTS BASED ON SURVEY DATA * (1989)EXPECTATIONS, RISK AND UNCERT…Endogenous risk in a portfolio-balance rational-expectations model of the Deutschemark-Dollar rate (1988)Endogenous risk in a portfoli…Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Does the Stock Market Overreact? (1985)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Control (1995)Predation, reputation, and entry deterrence (1982)Rational cooperation in the finitely repeated prisoners' dilemma (1982)The Folk Theorem in Repeated Games with Discounting or with Incomplete Information (1986)THE RELEVANCE OF QUASI RATIONALITY IN COMPETITIVE MARKETS (1988)Chapter 6 Indeterminacy and sunspots in macroeconomics (1999)Addressing climate change through price and non-price interventions (2019)Theory of the Consumption Function (1957)Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements (1961)The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations (1980)A linear algebraic procedure for solving linear perfect foresight models (1985)BUBBLES AND FADS IN ASSET PRICES (1989)The "Speculative Efficiency" Hypothesis (1981)Market efficiency and cointegration: an application to the sterling and deutschemark exchange markets (1989)Currency Hedging for International Portfolios (1993)The Forward Discount Anomaly and the Risk Premium: A Survey of Recent Evidence (1995)Short- Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation (2021)Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment (1973)Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs. (1973)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Allowance price drivers in the first phase of the EU ETS (2009)Empirical regularities in the behavior of exchange rates and theories of the foreign exchange market (1979)A model of international asset pricing (1981)International Capital Mobility and Crowding Out in the U.S. Economy: Imperfect Integration of Financial Markets or of Goods Markets? (1985)The statistical distribution of exchange rates: Empirical evidence and economic implications (1987)A multivariate generalized ARCH approach to modeling risk premia in forward foreign exchange rate markets (1990)Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy (1978)Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird's Eye View (1991)Does financial liberalization spur growth? (2005)Presidential Address: Discount Rates (2011)The Theory of Rational Bubbles in Stock Prices (1988)On Testing for Speculative Bubbles (1990)CRASHES AS CRITICAL POINTS (2000)The East Asian Financial Crisis: Diagnosis, Remedies, Prospects (1998)The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis (2004)From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis (2011)Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies (1983)Convergence Across States and Regions (1991)The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle (1996)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1976Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics4,704 cited
  • 1980Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?4,020 cited
  • 1979Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises2,838 cited
  • 1980Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis2,112 cited
  • 1980Market Fundamentals versus Price-Level Bubbles: The First Tests544 cited
  • 1979Speculative bubbles, crashes and rational expectations529 cited
  • 1981On Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models: An Attempt at Perspective483 cited
  • 2016Can Small Deviations from Rationality Make Significant Differences to Economic Equilibria441 cited
  • 1980The "Speculative Efficiency" Hypothesis402 cited
  • 1982In search of the exchange risk premium: A six-currency test assuming mean-variance optimization318 cited
  • 1980The ‘peso problem’ in testing the efficiency of forward exchange markets312 cited
  • 1983Risk Averse Speculation in the Forward Foreign Exchange Market: An Econometric Analysis of Linear Models276 cited
  • 1977THE FORWARD EXCHANGE RATE, EXPECTATIONS, AND DEMAND FOR MONEY: THE GERMAN HYPERINFLATION269 cited
  • 1986Testing for Bubbles in Exchange Markets: A Case of Sparkling Rates?269 cited

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1985
The observable implications of self-fulfilling expectations
256 cited
  • 1980Money in International Exchange: The Convertible Currency System.200 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2002The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity203 cited
    • 1991Are Stock Returns Predictable? A Test Using Markov Chains117 cited
    • 2013A Mathematical Theory of Financial Bubbles110 cited
    • 1998Are there rational speculative bubbles in Asian stock markets?106 cited
    • 2008A case study of speculative financial bubbles in the South African stock market 2003–200688 cited
    • 2013Are there bubbles in the Sterling-dollar exchange rate? New evidence from sequential ADF tests69 cited
    • 1989EXPECTATIONS, RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET: SOME RESULTS BASED ON SURVEY DATA *67 cited
    • 1996Empirical exchange rate models and shifts in the co-integrating vector58 cited
    • 2017When the Bubble Bursts: Monetary Policy Rules and Foreign Exchange Market Behavior58 cited
    • 2001Implications of Globalization for Monetary Policy54 cited
    • 1988Endogenous risk in a portfolio-balance rational-expectations model of the Deutschemark-Dollar rate50 cited
    • 2017TESTING FOR SPECULATIVE BUBBLES USING SPOT AND FORWARD PRICES49 cited
    • 2008Overconfidence in Currency Markets46 cited
    • 2006Are There Rational Speculative Bubbles in REITs?45 cited
    • 2016Periodically collapsing bubbles in the South African stock market40 cited
    • 1992Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity35 cited