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Naïve Sampling and Format Dependence in Subjective Probability Calibration
5 references·0 citing·25 second hopsampled
Naïve Sampling and Format Dependence in Subjective Probability Calibration (2003)Naïve Sampling and Format Dependence in S…PROBabilities from EXemplars (PROBEX): a “lazy” algorithm for probabilistic inference from generic knowledge (2002)PROBabilities from EXemplars …On the misperception of variability. (2002)On the misperception of varia…Beware of samples! A cognitive-ecological sampling approach to judgment biases. (2000)Beware of samples! A cognitiv…Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask (1999)Overconfidence: It Depends on…Format dependence in subjective probability calibration. (1999)Format dependence in subjecti…On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Knowledge Calibration: What Consumers Know and What They Think They Know (2000)Individual differences in adult decision-making competence. (2007)Managerial Miscalibration* (2013)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)The Social Identity Theory of Intergroup Behavior (2004)Social Projection to Ingroups and Outgroups: A Review and Meta-Analysis (2005)Simpson's paradox in psychological science: a practical guide (2013)A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance (2017)On doing better science: From thrill of discovery to policy implications (2017)The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence (1992)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives (2002)Overconfidence in Political Behavior (2015)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Exemplar effects in categorization and multiple-cue judgment. (2003)Fast, frugal, and rational: How rational norms explain behavior (2003)A response-time approach to comparing generalized rational and take-the-best models of decision making. (2007)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)The illusion of control. (1975)Neuronal Distortions of Reward Probability without Choice (2008)The coexistence of overestimation and underweighting of rare events and the contingent recency effect (2009)Car stickiness: Heuristics and biases in travel choice (2013)
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References

  • 1999Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask786 cited
  • 2000Beware of samples! A cognitive-ecological sampling approach to judgment biases.469 cited
  • 1999Format dependence in subjective probability calibration.177 cited
  • 2002PROBabilities from EXemplars (PROBEX): a “lazy” algorithm for probabilistic inference from generic knowledge172 cited
  • 2002On the misperception of variability.99 cited

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