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Expectation formation in behavioral simulation models
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Expectation formation in behavioral simulation models (1986)Expectation formation in behavioral simul…Models of Bounded Rationality (1997)Models of Bounded RationalityThe Forecasting Accuracy of Major Time Series Methods. (1986)The Forecasting Accuracy of M…On the behavioral and rational foundations of economic dynamics (1984)On the behavioral and rationa…The Rational Expectations Revolution in Macroeconomics. (1983)The Rational Expectations Rev…An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change. (1983)An Evolutionary Theory of Eco…Conservatism in human information processing (1982)Conservatism in human informa…Rational Decision-Making in Business Organizations (1979)Rational Decision-Making in B…Long-Range Forecasting. (1979)Long-Range Forecasting.On Testing for Rationality: Another Look at the Livingston Price Expectations Data (1978)On Testing for Rationality: A…Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (1976)Econometric policy evaluation…Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…A Note on the Rationality of the Livingston Price Expectations (1975)A Note on the Rationality of …Dynamics of Commodity Production Cycles. (1973)Dynamics of Commodity Product…Applied Economic Forecasting (1967)Applied Economic ForecastingTHE LIFE CYCLE HYPOTHESIS OF SAVING: AGGREGATE IMPLICATIONS AND TESTS (1963)THE LIFE CYCLE HYPOTHESIS OF …A Theory of the Consumption Function (1960)A Theory of the Consumption F…Forecasting When Pattern Changes Occur Beyond the Historical Data (1986)Forecasting When Pattern Chan…Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)Social Security, Induced Retirement, and Aggregate Capital Accumulation (1974)Capital markets research in accounting (2001)Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs. (1973)The Role of Monetary Policy (1995)INTEREST AND PRICES: FOUNDATIONS OF A THEORY OF MONETARY POLICY (2005)Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy (2005)Does Culture Affect Economic Outcomes? (2006)Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate? (2000)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (1999)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Heuristic Decision Making (2010)Absorptive Capacity: A New Perspective on Learning and Innovation (1990)Dynamic capabilities and strategic management (1997)Explicating dynamic capabilities: the nature and microfoundations of (sustainable) enterprise performance (2007)Findings from evidence-based forecasting: Methods for reducing forecast error (2006)Illusions in regression analysis (2012)A systematic assessment of rigor in information systems ranking-type Delphi studies (2013)A model of investor sentiment /The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process (1977)A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1 (1998)Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series (1982)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets (2001)Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review (2003)Introductory Econometrics for Finance (2008)
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References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1983An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change.21,368 cited
  • 1976Econometric policy evaluation: A critique6,104 cited
  • 1997Models of Bounded Rationality4,207 cited
  • 1979Rational Decision-Making in Business Organizations2,893 cited
  • 1960A Theory of the Consumption Function2,232 cited
  • 1963THE LIFE CYCLE HYPOTHESIS OF SAVING: AGGREGATE IMPLICATIONS AND TESTS2,011 cited
  • 1967Applied Economic Forecasting1,206 cited
  • 1982Conservatism in human information processing1,004 cited
  • 1979Long-Range Forecasting.203 cited
  • 1984On the behavioral and rational foundations of economic dynamics186 cited
  • 1975A Note on the Rationality of the Livingston Price Expectations176 cited
  • 1978On Testing for Rationality: Another Look at the Livingston Price Expectations Data156 cited
  • 1986The Forecasting Accuracy of Major Time Series Methods.154 cited
  • 1973Dynamics of Commodity Production Cycles.149 cited
  • 1983The Rational Expectations Revolution in Macroeconomics.

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  • 1986Forecasting When Pattern Changes Occur Beyond the Historical Data38 cited