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Semantic Coherence and Inconsistency in Estimating Conditional Probabilities
16 references·11 citing·37 second hop
Semantic Coherence and Inconsistency in Estimating Conditional Probabilities (2012)Semantic Coherence and Inconsistency in E…Thinking, Fast and Slow (2011)Thinking, Fast and SlowDo Icon Arrays Help Reduce Denominator Neglect? (2010)Do Icon Arrays Help Reduce De…Semantic coherence and fallacies in estimating joint probabilities (2009)Semantic coherence and fallac…Numeracy, ratio bias, and denominator neglect in judgments of risk and probability (2007)Numeracy, ratio bias, and den…Converging evidence supports fuzzy-trace theory's nested sets hypothesis, but not the frequency hypothesis (2007)Converging evidence supports …Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes (2007)Base-rate respect: From ecolo…Coherence and correspondence criteria for rationality: experts' estimation of risks of sexually transmitted infections (2005)Coherence and correspondence …How People Make Decisions That Involve Risk (2004)How People Make Decisions Tha…Frequency illusions and other fallacies (2003)Frequency illusions and other…Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not (2002)Representation facilitates re…Frequency versus probability formats in statistical word problems (2000)Frequency versus probability …The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. (1996)The empirical case for two sy…Information seeking on Bayesian conditional probability problems: A fuzzy‐trace theory account (1995)Information seeking on Bayesi…How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats. (1995)How to improve Bayesian reaso…Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. (1983)Extensional versus intuitive …On the psychology of prediction. (1973)On the psychology of predicti…Reference Dependence in Bayesian Reasoning: Value Selection Bias, Congruence Effects, and Response Prompt Sensitivity (2022)Reference Dependence in Bayes…The effects of numeracy and presentation format on judgments of contingency (2020)The effects of numeracy and p…Focusing on what matters: Restructuring the presentation of Bayesian reasoning problems. (2018)Focusing on what matters: Res…On Judgments of Approximately Equal (2017)On Judgments of Approximately…A Fuzzy-Trace Theory of Judgment and Decision-Making in Health Care: Explanation, Prediction, and Application (2016)A Fuzzy-Trace Theory of Judgm…Proficiency of FPPI and objective numeracy in assessing breast cancer risk estimation (2015)Proficiency of FPPI and objec…Are People Naïve Probability Theorists? A Further Examination of the Probability Theory + Variation Model (2014)Are People Naïve Probability …An Overview of Judgment and Decision Making Research Through the Lens of Fuzzy Trace Theory (2014)An Overview of Judgment and D…A review of theories of numeracy: psychological mechanisms and implications for medical decision making (2014)A review of theories of numer…Individual differences in base rate neglect: A fuzzy processing preference index (2013)Individual differences in bas…A signal detection analysis of gist-based discrimination of genetic breast cancer risk (2013)A signal detection analysis o…Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)Telling more than we can know: Verbal reports on mental processes. (1977)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Feeling and thinking: Preferences need no inferences. 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(2000)Heuristics and Biases (2002)Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (2004)The development of risk-taking: A multi-perspective review (2006)A dual-process approach to health risk decision making: The prototype willingness model (2008)A Theory of Medical Decision Making and Health: Fuzzy Trace Theory (2008)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review (2002)Rationality in Economics: Constructivist and Ecological Forms (2007)Probability Information in Risk Communication: A Review of the Research Literature (2008)Dual-Processing Accounts of Reasoning, Judgment, and Social Cognition (2007)Dual-Process Theories of Higher Cognition (2013)Managerial cognitive capabilities and the microfoundations of dynamic capabilities (2014)Lazy, not biased: Susceptibility to partisan fake news is better explained by lack of reasoning than by motivated reasoning (2018)
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References

  • 2011Thinking, Fast and Slow14,316 cited
  • 1973On the psychology of prediction.6,201 cited
  • 1983Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.3,990 cited
  • 1996The empirical case for two systems of reasoning.3,855 cited
  • 1995How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction: Frequency formats.2,131 cited
  • 2004How People Make Decisions That Involve Risk639 cited
  • 2007Numeracy, ratio bias, and denominator neglect in judgments of risk and probability486 cited
  • 2007Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes410 cited
  • 2003Frequency illusions and other fallacies266 cited
  • 2002Representation facilitates reasoning: what natural frequencies are and what they are not252 cited
  • 2000Frequency versus probability formats in statistical word problems216 cited
  • 2010Do Icon Arrays Help Reduce Denominator Neglect?204 cited
  • 1995Information seeking on Bayesian conditional probability problems: A fuzzy‐trace theory account92 cited
  • 2005Coherence and correspondence criteria for rationality: experts' estimation of risks of sexually transmitted infections63 cited
  • 2009Semantic coherence and fallacies in estimating joint probabilities

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59 cited
  • 2007Converging evidence supports fuzzy-trace theory's nested sets hypothesis, but not the frequency hypothesis34 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2013Individual differences in base rate neglect: A fuzzy processing preference index16 cited
    • 2016A Fuzzy-Trace Theory of Judgment and Decision-Making in Health Care: Explanation, Prediction, and Application13 cited
    • 2014An Overview of Judgment and Decision Making Research Through the Lens of Fuzzy Trace Theory12 cited
    • 2014A review of theories of numeracy: psychological mechanisms and implications for medical decision making11 cited
    • 2017On Judgments of Approximately Equal9 cited
    • 2014Are People Naïve Probability Theorists? A Further Examination of the Probability Theory + Variation Model8 cited
    • 2020The effects of numeracy and presentation format on judgments of contingency6 cited
    • 2013A signal detection analysis of gist-based discrimination of genetic breast cancer risk6 cited
    • 2015Proficiency of FPPI and objective numeracy in assessing breast cancer risk estimation6 cited
    • 2018Focusing on what matters: Restructuring the presentation of Bayesian reasoning problems.4 cited
    • 2022Reference Dependence in Bayesian Reasoning: Value Selection Bias, Congruence Effects, and Response Prompt Sensitivity2 cited