Consistent Bayesian updating with unconsidered propositions

Simon Harold Grant · John C. Quiggin

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Game Theory and Applications Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

Abstract

In this paper, we employ the propositional approach developed by Grant and Quiggin (2004) and consider the properties of Bayesian updating in the presence of unconsidered propositions

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1961Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms 1989Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior 1993Updating Ambiguous Beliefs 1997A Unique Subjective State Space for Unforeseen Contingencies

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