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A Dynamic Factor Model of the Yield Curve as a Predictor of the Economy
16 references·0 citing·43 second hopsampled
A Dynamic Factor Model of the Yield Curve as a Predictor of the Economy (2012)A Dynamic Factor Model of the Yield Curve…The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present (2007)The U.S. Treasury yield curve…Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields (2003)Forecasting the Term Structur…Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)Forecasting Output and Inflat…Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)Forecasting Output and Inflat…A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables (2003)A no-arbitrage vector autoreg…Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators (1998)Predicting U.S. Recessions: F…A YIELD‐FACTOR MODEL OF INTEREST RATES (1996)A YIELD‐FACTOR MODEL OF INTER…Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point (1993)Tests for Parameter Instabili…The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity (1991)The Term Structure as a Predi…The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)The Great Crash, the Oil Pric…New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators (1989)New Indexes of Coincident and…A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)A New Approach to the Economi…Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression (1988)Testing for a Unit Root in Ti…Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves (1987)Parsimonious Modeling of Yiel…Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root (1979)Distribution of the Estimator…Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's?Output Fluctuations in the Un…A Monetary History of the United States 1867-1960 (1964)Time Series Analysis Forecasting and Control. (1971)Book Review: Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors (1988)Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships (2001)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems (1999)Forecasting Using Principal Components From a Large Number of Predictors (2002)Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Diffusion Indexes (2002)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)An equilibrium characterization of the term structure (1977)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds (1999)Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-diffusions (2000)Prospect Theory and Asset Prices (2001)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series (1982)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1995)Measuring the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1971)THE TAX‐ADJUSTED YIELD CURVE (1975)The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes (2001)Founding family ownership and the agency cost of debt (2003)Term Structure of Interest Rates (2008)Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root (1981)Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root (1992)Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties (2002)A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence (2007)Testing for the Constancy of Parameters Over Time (1989)Recursive and Sequential Tests of the Unit Root and Trend Break Hypothesis: Theory and International Evidence (1990)What is an Oil Shock? (2000)Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis (2002)Discretion versus policy rules in practice (1993)The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach (2005)What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? (2005)Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models (2006)Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory* (2000)Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk (2001)Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII US (2005)American Economic Review (2019)ARCH modeling in finance (1992)Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis (1992)
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References

  • 1979Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root26,976 cited
  • 1988Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression19,420 cited
  • 1989A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle9,681 cited
  • 1989The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis7,685 cited
  • 1993Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change With Unknown Change Point4,325 cited
  • 1987Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves2,918 cited
  • 1996A YIELD‐FACTOR MODEL OF INTEREST RATES2,498 cited
  • n.d.Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's?1,867 cited
  • 2003Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields1,838 cited
  • 1989New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators1,795 cited
  • 1991The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity1,739 cited
  • 2003A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables1,687 cited
  • 2003Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices1,488 cited
  • 2007The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present1,337 cited
  • 1998Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators

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1,180 cited
  • 2003Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices1,076 cited
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