References

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• n.d.Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's?1,867 cited
• 1991The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity1,739 cited
• 2024Nonmonetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in the Propagation of the Great Depression1,701 cited
• 1998Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators1,180 cited
• 2003Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices1,076 cited
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• 2002A Reexamination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread357 cited
• 2003How Stable is the Predictive Power of the Yield Curve? Evidence from Germany and the United States348 cited
• 1999The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications319 cited