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Overconfidence and risk dispersion
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Overconfidence and risk dispersion (2010)Overconfidence and risk dispersionCoherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments (2007)Coherence and Consistency of …Not so above average after all: When people believe they are worse than average and its implications for theories of bias in social comparison (2006)Not so above average after al…When 90% confidence intervals are 50% certain: on the credibility of credible intervals (2005)When 90% confidence intervals…Rational Overoptimism (and Other Biases) (2004)Rational Overoptimism (and Ot…Perspectives on Probability Judgment Calibration (2004)Perspectives on Probability J…The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory (2002)The Calibration of Expert Jud…Probability Judgment across Cultures (2002)Probability Judgment across C…A Biological Basis for Expected and Non-expected Utility (1996)A Biological Basis for Expect…Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes. (1994)Simultaneous over- and underc…Evolution and market behavior (1992)Evolution and market behaviorIllusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health. (1988)Illusion and well-being: A so…Entrepreneurs' perceived chances for success (1988)Entrepreneurs' perceived chan…Facing uncertainty in the game of bridge: A calibration study (1987)Facing uncertainty in the gam…Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)Calibration of probabilities:…Uncertainty measurement: A cognitive taxonomy (1978)Uncertainty measurement: A co…Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective uncertainty. (1974)Effects of decision importanc…The Handbook of Social Psychology (1969)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)The case for motivated reasoning. (1990)Financial Contracting with Optimistic Entrepreneurs (2008)Individualism and Momentum around the World (2010)National culture and corporate cash holdings around the world (2014)Project management: A systems approach to planning, scheduling and controlling (1982)Project management : a systems approach to planning, scheduling, and controlling (1995)A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality. (2003)Reducing Overconfidence in the Interval Judgments of Experts (2009)Eliciting Expert Knowledge in Conservation Science (2012)Overprecision in Judgment (2015)Risk, Uncertainty and Profit (1921)Evolution and the Theory of Games (1988)On economic applications of evolutionary game theory (1998)Agent-based computational finance: Suggested readings and early research (2000)The Theory of Economic Development (2003)Chapter 23 Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance (2006)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Arbitrary metrics in psychology. (2006)Two-stage dynamic signal detection: A theory of choice, decision time, and confidence. (2010)Ubiquitous Log Odds: A Common Representation of Probability and Frequency Distortion in Perception, Action, and Cognition (2012)Human Problem Solving (1972)Do those who know more also know more about how much they know? (1977)Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1983)Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)EXPERT AND EXCEPTIONAL PERFORMANCE: Evidence of Maximal Adaptation to Task Constraints (1996)Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average (1998)Cardinal Welfare, Individualistic Ethics, and Interpersonal Comparisons of Utility (1980)Why Imitate, and If So, How? (1998)Evolutionary Efficiency and Happiness (2007)Personality Psychology and Economics (2011)The Psychology of the Entrepreneur (1982)A domain‐specific risk‐attitude scale: measuring risk perceptions and risk behaviors (2002)Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment (2002)The Standard Edition of the Complete Psychological Works of Sigmund Freud (1953)The CES-D Scale (1977)Social Learning Theory. (1978)Culture and the Self: Implications for Cognition, Emotion, and Motivation (1991)The Emerging Field of Emotion Regulation: An Integrative Review (1998)Subjective well-being: Three decades of progress. (1999)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Social comparison processes in organizations (2006)Self-Enhancement: Food for Thought (2008)The better-than-average effect in comparative self-evaluation: A comprehensive review and meta-analysis. (2019)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001)Gender Differences in Preferences (2009)
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References

  • 1988Illusion and well-being: A social psychological perspective on mental health.7,808 cited
  • 1982Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 19801,966 cited
  • 1988Entrepreneurs' perceived chances for success1,284 cited
  • 1994Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.644 cited
  • 1992Evolution and market behavior553 cited
  • 2004Rational Overoptimism (and Other Biases)421 cited
  • 1987Facing uncertainty in the game of bridge: A calibration study302 cited
  • 1996A Biological Basis for Expected and Non-expected Utility208 cited
  • 2006Not so above average after all: When people believe they are worse than average and its implications for theories of bias in social comparison177 cited
  • 2005When 90% confidence intervals are 50% certain: on the credibility of credible intervals167 cited
  • 2002The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory148 cited
  • 1978Uncertainty measurement: A cognitive taxonomy133 cited
  • 2004Perspectives on Probability Judgment Calibration113 cited
  • 2007Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments83 cited
  • 1974Effects of decision importance on ability to generate warranted subjective uncertainty.

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55 cited
  • 2002Probability Judgment across Cultures54 cited
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