The Cognitive Environment Simulation as a tool for modeling human performance and reliability

Abstract

The US Nuclear Regulatory Commission is sponsoring a program to develop improved methods to model the cognitive behavior of nuclear power plant (NPP) personnel. A tool called Cognitive Environment Simulation (CES) was developed for simulating how people form intentions to act in NPP emergencies. CES provides an analytic tool for exploring plausible human responses in emergency situations. In addition a methodology called Cognitive Reliability Assessment Technique (CREATE) was developed that describes how CES can be used to provide input to human reliability analyses (HRA) in probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) studies. This report describes the results of three activities that were performed to evaluate CES/CREATE: (1) A technical review was conducted by a panel of experts in cognitive modeling, PRA and HRA; (2) CES was exercised on steam generator tube rupture incidents for which data on operator performance exist; (3) a workshop with HRA practitioners was held to analyze a worked example'' of the CREATE methodology. The results of all three evaluations indicate that CES/CREATE is a promising approach for modeling intention formation. Volume 1 provides a summary of the results. This document, Volume 2, provides details on the three evaluations, including the CES computer outputs for the tube rupture events. 18 refs., 9 figs., 5 tabs.

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