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An interest rate-based indicator of monetary policy
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  • 1998The Predictive Content of the Interest Rate Term Spread for Future Economic Growth145 cited
  • 2007Time-series and cross-sectional excess comovement in stock indexes132 cited
  • 2005What Does the Yield Curve Tell Us About GDP Growth?109 cited
  • 2003The High-Yield Spread as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity: Evidence of a Financial Accelerator for the United States90 cited
  • 2006Asymmetric Information and Liquidity Constraints: A New Test82 cited
  • 2002Emerging Markets: When Are They Worth It?81 cited
  • 2007Investigating time-variation in the marginal predictive power of the yield spread64 cited
  • 1994Understanding the price puzzle64 cited
  • 2001The Federal Reserve’s operating procedure, nonborrowed reserves, borrowed reserves and the liquidity effect60 cited
  • 2008Strategic business cycle management and organizational performance: a great unexplored research stream53 cited
  • 2004What Does the Yield Curve Tell us about GDP Growth?53 cited
  • 2008Bidder returns and merger anticipation: Evidence from banking deregulation48 cited
  • 2014Recession Prediction Using Yield Curve and Stock Market Liquidity Deviation Measures47 cited
  • 1997THE EQUILIBRIUM FED FUNDS RATE AND THE INDICATOR PROPERTIES OF TERM‐STRUCTURE SPREADS

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47 cited
  • 2009Financial Volatility and Economic Activity45 cited
  • 2010Business cycle management and firm performance44 cited