Analysis of Revisions to Quarterly GDP-A Real-Time Database

Cath Sleeman

16 citations0/0 files storedRePEc: Research Papers in Economics

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Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Forecasting Techniques and Applications German Economic Analysis & Policies

Abstract

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one of the key data series used by the Reserve Bank to inform monetary policy decisions. The measures of GDP, published by Statistics New Zealand (SNZ), are estimates rather than exact figures and may be revised in subsequent releases. Analysis of the most recent measures of GDP should incorporate the extent of uncertainty that surrounds these estimates. To enable a more detailed examination of revision patterns, the Reserve Bank has constructed a real-time database containing each quarterly release of Expenditure GDP (GDP(E)) and its components. The database is available to users on the Reserve Bank's website and will be regularly updated. This article provides an introduction to the database and, by way of example, presents a basic analysis of the revisions made to GDP(E) and its components.

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2001Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data 1986News or Noise? An Analysis of GNP Revisions 2005News and Noise in G-7 GDP Announcements 1984Are preliminary announcements of the money stock rational forecasts?2003A Real-Time Data Set for Macroeconomists: Does the Data Vintage Matter?1998Revisionist History: How Data Revisions Distort Economic Policy Research 2006UK Real‐Time Macro Data Characteristics

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2014REAL‐TIME DATA AND FISCAL POLICY ANALYSIS: A SURVEY OF THE LITERATURE 2016Rationality of Announcements, Business Cycle Asymmetry, and Predictabilityof Revisions. The Case of French GDP

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