MACROECONOMIC LINKAGES IN MEXICO

Julio López · Armando Sánchez Vargas · Aris Spanos

29 citations0/0 files storedMetroeconomica

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Economic Theory and Policy Monetary Policy and Economic Impact Economic, financial, and policy analysis

Abstract

ABSTRACT The authors study the effects of selected macro variables on output in Mexico, following a Kaleckian framework, and using a probabilistic approach to econometrics. They find a strong positive effect of US GDP, of protection of the domestic market and of government expenditure, on Mexico's GDP, and a negative influence of higher exchange rate and credit rationing. Their results support the overall outlook proposed by the post Keynesian and the Latin American Structuralist schools of economic thought, and reject the Washington Consensus type of policies Mexico has been following during the last decades.

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References

1988Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors 1981Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root 1980Macroeconomics and Reality 1995Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models 1975John Maynard Keynes 1982Can "It" Happen Again? Essays on Instability and Finance 1994The Balance-of-Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences 1978Contractionary effects of devaluation

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