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New Developments in the Methodology of Expert- and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Forecasting
16 references·1 citing·41 second hop
New Developments in the Methodology of Expert- and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Forecasting (2000)New Developments in the Methodology of Ex…The Logic of Scientific Discovery (2013)The Logic of Scientific Disco…Overconfidence in Judgmental Forecasting (2001)Overconfidence in Judgmental …Long-Term Working Memory as an Alternative to Capacity Models of Working Memory in Everyday Skilled Performance (1999)Long-Term Working Memory as a…Probabilistic Approaches to Population Forecasting (1998)Probabilistic Approaches to P…Doubling of world population unlikely (1997)Doubling of world population …Long-term working memory. (1995)Long-term working memory.Stochastic Population Forecasts for the United States: Beyond High, Medium, and Low (1994)Stochastic Population Forecas…Uncertain Population Forecasting (1985)Uncertain Population Forecast…The Accuracy of Population Projections (1983)The Accuracy of Population Pr…Long-Range Forecasting. (1979)Long-Range Forecasting.Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer (1979)Long-Range Forecasting: From …Practical Reasoning in Natural Language (1977)Practical Reasoning in Natura…the delphi method: techniques and applications (1975)the delphi method: techniques…THE MIND'S EYE IN CHESS (1973)THE MIND'S EYE IN CHESSTechnological forecasting for decision making (1972)Technological forecasting for…The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (1963)The Structure of Scientific R…Comparing Projection Assumptions of Fertility in Six Advanced Asian Economies; or ‘Thinking Beyond the Medium Variant’ (2013)Comparing Projection Assumpti…The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)Perception in chess (1973)Cognitive Load During Problem Solving: Effects on Learning (1988)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1994)Human Problem Solving. (1973)The role of deliberate practice in the acquisition of expert performance. (1993)The episodic buffer: a new component of working memory? (2000)The magical number 4 in short-term memory: A reconsideration of mental storage capacity (2001)Why Minimal Guidance During Instruction Does Not Work: An Analysis of the Failure of Constructivist, Discovery, Problem-Based, Experiential, and Inquiry-Based Teaching (2006)The Methods and Materials of Demography. (1973)Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations (1983)Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries (2000)The end of world population growth (2001)World population stabilization unlikely this century (2014)Some Stochastic Versions of the Matrix Model for Population Dynamics (1969)On Future Population (1972)Forecasting Births in Post-Transition Populations: Stochastic Renewal with Serially Correlated Fertility (1974)Population Growth and Earth's Human Carrying Capacity (1995)The Outlook for Population Growth (2011)The science of mechanics in the Middle Ages (1959)Dialogues Concerning Two New Sciences (1966)The Social Construction of Reality: A Treatise in the Sociology of Knowledge. (1967)Science and Civilization in China. Volume 5: Chemistry and Chemical Technology. Part II (Spagyrical Discovery and Invention: Magisteries of Gold and Immortality) (1976)Competing paradigms in qualitative research. (1994)Sample Size in Qualitative Interview Studies (2015)The Logic of Real Arguments (2004)Argumentation as an Object of Interest and as a Social and Cultural Resource (2009)From Argument Diagrams to Argumentation Mining in Texts (2013)Conservation of resources: A new attempt at conceptualizing stress. (1989)Five Misunderstandings About Case-Study Research (2004)Seeking Qualitative Rigor in Inductive Research (2012)Social psychological aspects of computer-mediated communication. (1984)The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis (1999)The Delphi Technique: Making Sense of Consensus (2020)An examination of the accuracy of judgmental extrapolation of time series (1985)Hybrid Delphi: A methodology to facilitate contribution from experts in professional contexts (2011)The Delphi Technique in Educational Research (2014)The External Control of Organizations. (1978)Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique (2000)The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications (2004)
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References

  • 1963The Structure of Scientific Revolutions35,356 cited
  • 2013The Logic of Scientific Discovery7,765 cited
  • 1975the delphi method: techniques and applications5,236 cited
  • 1995Long-term working memory.3,502 cited
  • 1973THE MIND'S EYE IN CHESS1,440 cited
  • 1972Technological forecasting for decision making815 cited
  • 1994Stochastic Population Forecasts for the United States: Beyond High, Medium, and Low277 cited
  • 1983The Accuracy of Population Projections241 cited
  • 1977Practical Reasoning in Natural Language237 cited
  • 1979Long-Range Forecasting: From Crystal Ball to Computer226 cited
  • 1999Long-Term Working Memory as an Alternative to Capacity Models of Working Memory in Everyday Skilled Performance225 cited
  • 1997Doubling of world population unlikely223 cited
  • 1979Long-Range Forecasting.203 cited
  • 1998Probabilistic Approaches to Population Forecasting168 cited
  • 2001Overconfidence in Judgmental Forecasting168 cited
  • 1985Uncertain Population Forecasting130 cited

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  • 2013Comparing Projection Assumptions of Fertility in Six Advanced Asian Economies; or ‘Thinking Beyond the Medium Variant’13 cited