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Yield curve forecasts of inflation: a cautionary tale
8 references·2 citing·49 second hop
Yield curve forecasts of inflation: a cautionary tale (1994)Yield curve forecasts of inflation: a cau…Time-Varying Volatility and the Dynamic Behavior of the Term Structure (1991)Time-Varying Volatility and t…Term-structure forecasts of interest rates, inflation and real returns (1990)Term-structure forecasts of i…The Information in the Longer Maturity Term Structure about Future Inflation (1989)The Information in the Longer…New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1989)New Hope for the Expectations…Drawing inferences from statistics based on multiyear asset returns (1989)Drawing inferences from stati…The Case of the Negative Nominal Interest Rates: New Estimates of the Term Structure of Interest Rates During the Great Depression (1987)The Case of the Negative Nomi…The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1986)The Changing Behavior of the …THE TAX‐ADJUSTED YIELD CURVE (1975)THE TAX‐ADJUSTED YIELD CURVEDeriving Agents' Inflation Forecasts from the Term Structure of Interest Rates (2021)Deriving Agents' Inflation Fo…Why Do Central Banks Monitor So Many Inflation Indicators (2001)Why Do Central Banks Monitor …Unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States (1976)A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural-Rate Model (1981)Short- Term Interest Rates as Predictors of Inflation (2021)The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957 1 (1958)The Role of Monetary Policy (1995)Monetary Theory and Policy (1999)The Volatility of Long-Term Interest Rates and Expectations Models of the Term Structure (1979)The Information in Long-Maturity Forward Rates (1987)Forward Discount Bias: Is it an Exchange Risk Premium? (1989)Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters (2002)The maturity of debt issues and predictable variation in bond returns (2003)Business performance and social media: Love or hate? (2014)Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series (1982)Dividend yields and expected stock returns (1988)Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds (1989)A No-Arbitrage Vector Autoregression of Term Structure Dynamics with Macroeconomic and Latent Variables (1999)Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice (2003)The Term Structure of Real Rates and Expected Inflation (2007)Non-Monetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in the Propagation of the Great Depression (1983)A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1985)Are Negative Option Prices Possible? The Callable U.S. Treasury-Bond Puzzle (1992)Multiple equilibria and term structure models (1992)Monetary Policy When the Nominal Short-Term Interest Rate is Zero (2000)Nonmonetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in the Propagation of the Great Depression (2024)The Theory of Investment Value, by John Burr Williams (1939)Measuring the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1971)What Moves the Stock and Bond Markets? A Variance Decomposition for Long‐Term Asset Returns (1993)Term Structure of Interest Rates (2008)Noise as Information for Illiquidity (2013)Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices (1988)Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test (1988)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)On biases in tests of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates (1997)Alternative Variance-Ratio Tests Using Ranks and Signs (2000)Multifractality in Asset Returns: Theory and Evidence (2002)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing (1976)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Intraday Volatility in Interest‐Rate and Foreign‐Exchange Markets: ARCH, Announcement, and Seasonality Effects (2001)Bayesian inference in a Stochastic Volatility Nelson–Siegel model (2010)Volatility spillovers from the Chinese stock market to economic neighbours (2013)Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation (1982)Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models (1987)Interest Rate Pass‐Through and Monetary Transmission: Evidence from Individual Financial Institutions' Retail Rates (2004)Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How? (2013)Expected Returns in Treasury Bonds (2015)Interest rates and the conduct of monetary policy (1991)Asset Pricing at the Millennium (2000)Time-varying short-horizon predictability☆ (2010)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1975THE TAX‐ADJUSTED YIELD CURVE548 cited
  • 1986The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates472 cited
  • 1990Term-structure forecasts of interest rates, inflation and real returns444 cited
  • 1989Drawing inferences from statistics based on multiyear asset returns410 cited
  • 1989New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates336 cited
  • 1989The Information in the Longer Maturity Term Structure about Future Inflation256 cited
  • 1987The Case of the Negative Nominal Interest Rates: New Estimates of the Term Structure of Interest Rates During the Great Depression81 cited
  • 1991Time-Varying Volatility and the Dynamic Behavior of the Term Structure77 cited

Cited by

  • 2021Deriving Agents' Inflation Forecasts from the Term Structure of Interest Rates14 cited
  • 2001Why Do Central Banks Monitor So Many Inflation Indicators13 cited

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