Procyclicality of financial systems: is there a need to modify current accounting and regulatory rules?

Abstract

Financial systems have an intrinsic tendency to exacerbate business cycle fluctuations rather than smoothing them out. The current crisis is a perfect illustration of this. Some commentators have argued that the recent reforms to international bank regulation (Basel II) and accounting rules (IAS 39) are likely to increase this intrinsic procyclicality in the future. This article examines whether this accusation is founded and what policy decisions could be envisaged to alleviate this undesirable feature of financial systems.

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