From Borel's remarks to subjective probability studies

Abstract

In 1907, Borel published an article entitled Le calcul des probabilites et la methode des majorites in L’annee psychologique (vol. 14, pp. 125-151). This was more than two decades before the full formalization of probability theory by Andrei Kolmogorov (1903-1987) in the 1930s. However, the problems Borel raised in the article were still on statisticians’ and psychologists’ agendas long after Kolmogorov’s work. Le calcul des probabilites et la methode des majorites is an exemplary paper in what is now called mathematical psychology: Borel’s mathematical approach does not hide his interest in psychological matters. At that time, scientific psychology was more or less dominated by psychophysics, a trend that made wide use of quantitative methods. Probably for that reason, mathematical psychology was more common then than it is now.

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