Теорема о существовании разрывов в шкале вероятностей. II.

Alexander Harin

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Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Probability and Statistical Research Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference

Abstract

The theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proved. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

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