Coherent Analysis of Forensic Identification Evidence

A. P. Dawid · Julia Mortera

77 citations0/0 files storedJournal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology)

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Legal processes and jurisprudence Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference Forensic and Genetic Research

Abstract

SUMMARY A murder has been committed and there is a known population of possible suspects. The identification evidence available, based on information at the scene of the crime, is that the criminal may have a certain characteristic. Information may also be available on a set of suspects about which of them have the characteristic. We discuss the problem of assessing who is the guilty party, taking particular account of the following complicating features: the evidence at the scene of the crime may be unreliable; the suspects examined may have been chosen by means of a search process, which might itself be informative. We also examine the effect of the assumed population dependence structure for the relevant identification characteristics.

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1984Evidence, Proof and Probability.1995Inference in Forensic Identification

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