Article1993

When Deaths Exceed Births: Natural Decrease in the United States

26 citations0/0 files storedInternational Regional Science Review

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Regional Socio-Economic Development Trends Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management Urbanization and City Planning

Abstract

Natural decrease is no longer rare in the United States. By 1989, 34 percent of all U.S. counties had experienced at least one year of it. Natural decrease is most common in rural areas remote from metropolitan centers. Regional concentrations of natural decrease exist in the Great Plains, the Corn Belt, and East Texas with scattered pockets in the Ozark-Ouachita Uplands, Upper Great Lakes, and Florida. Natural decrease is caused by age structure distortions stimulated by protracted, age-specific migration. Although temporal variations in fertility also contribute to natural decrease, these variations are not due to below average fertility. Natural decrease is symptomatic of fundamental changes in the demographic structure of an area.

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References

1987Europe's second demographic transition.1989Migration and residential mobility in the United States 1973The Methods and Materials of Demography.1985The Nonmetropolitan Population Turnaround 1990Rural and small town America 1988Recent Trends in Migration between Core and Peripheral Regions in Developed and Advanced Developing Countries 1989Recent population redistribution trends in nonmetropolitan America.1989The timing of family formation: rural-urban differentials in first intercourse, childbirth, and marriage

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2010Growing Diversity among America's Children and Youth: Spatial and Temporal Dimensions 1995Spatial and demographic dynamics of metropolitan and nonmetropolitan territory in the United States 1995Aging in place, age specific migration and natural decrease

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