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10 Interest rate spreads as predictors of business cycles
16 references·3 citing·38 second hop
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References

  • 1936The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money.14,486 cited
  • 1936The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money.12,562 cited
  • 1989A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle9,681 cited
  • 1995Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission4,205 cited
  • 1989The federal funds rate and the channels of monetary transmission2,833 cited
  • 1994Monetary Policy, Business Cycles, and the Behavior of Small Manufacturing Firms2,546 cited
  • 1991The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity1,739 cited
  • 1992Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence From the Composition of External Finance1,488 cited
  • 1947Measuring Business Cycles1,481 cited
  • 1991The Credit Crunch1,340 cited
  • 1984Are Economic Time Series Asymmetric over the Business Cycle?929 cited
  • 1989NBER macroeconomics annual 1987923 cited
  • 1988Rational-expectations econometric analysis of changes in regime898 cited
  • 1988The real term structure and consumption growth703 cited
  • 1992Money, Income, Prices and Interest Rates660 cited

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1951
A Contribution to the Theory of the Trade Cycle
633 cited

Cited by

  • 2004A classifying procedure for signalling turning points39 cited
  • 2009Applications of State Space Models in finance26 cited
  • 2000The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation14 cited