On the move: making sense of car and train travel trends in Britain

Abstract

This study aims to identify the patterns of behaviour which underlie the observed national levelling off in car traffic in Great Britain - after decades of growth - and the continuing strong growth in rail passenger mileage, even during the current recession. It also seeks to establish whether there is any evidence that these contrasting trends are linked. It was not part of the remit of this study to determine what has caused the changes in behaviour that have been identified, nor to make judgements about the appropriateness of current road and rail forecasts, although the report briefly addresses these issues. Most of the analysis has been based on National Travel Survey (NTS) data between the years 1995 and 2007. The NTS annually samples around 20,000 British residents in 8,000 households, capturing their travel over a one-week period, and includes a record of which car is used for each journey. Data for years preceding 1995 is not fully comparable, and the analysis goes only up to 2007, so as to exclude the effects of the current recession.

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