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Bayesian age–period–cohort models with versatile interactions and long‐term predictions: mortality and population in Finland 1878–2050
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Bayesian age–period–cohort models with versatile interactions and long‐term predictions: mortality and population in Finland 1878–2050 (2013)Bayesian age–period–cohort models with ve…Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries (2011)Probabilistic Projections of …The analysis of heterogeneous time trends in multivariate age–period–cohort models (2009)The analysis of heterogeneous…Demographic Forecasting (2008)Demographic ForecastingBayesian Age-Period-Cohort Modeling and Prediction -BAMP (2007)Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort Mo…Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach (2006)Robust forecasting of mortali…Bayesian modelling of inseparable space‐time variation in disease risk (2000)Bayesian modelling of insepar…Bayesian Inference on the Lexis Diagram (1993)Bayesian Inference on the Lex…Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality (1992)Modeling and Forecasting U. S…The Estimation of Age, Period and Cohort Effects for Vital Rates (1983)The Estimation of Age, Period…Death-Rates in Great Britain and Sweden: Expression of Specific Mortality Rates as Products of Two Factors, and some Consequences thereof (1934)Death-Rates in Great Britain …Observations on (1) Errors of age in the population statistics of England and Wales, and (2) the changes in mortality indicated by the national records (1927)Observations on (1) Errors of…Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation (2007)Another 'futile quest'? A simulation study of Yang and Land's Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort model (2014)Bayesian demography 250 years after Bayes (2016)Measurement and projection of the burden of disease attributable to population aging in 188 countries, 1990-2050: A population-based study (2022)Reviews: Borgatta, Edgar D., ed., Sociological Methodology, 1969. San Francisco, Jossey-Bass, Inc., 1969. 302 + xvi pp. $12.50. (1972)In Search of Methuselah: Estimating the Upper Limits to Human Longevity (1990)Broken Limits to Life Expectancy (2002)Applied Mathematical Demography (2005)Projections of Global Mortality and Burden of Disease from 2002 to 2030 (2006)Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories (2018)DEATH-RATES IN GREAT BRITAIN AND SWEDEN SOME GENERAL REGULARITIES AND THEIR SIGNIFICANCE (1934)Period effects, generation effects and age effects in peptic ulcer mortality (1982)Age, Period, and Cohort Effects in Demography: A Review (1985)The Method of Expected Number of Deaths, 1786-1886-1986, Correspondent Paper (1987)Vital statistics rates in the United States, 1940-1960 (1968)Identification and Estimation of Age-Period-Cohort Models in the Analysis of Discrete Archival Data (1979)Increasing Rates of Depression (1989)The Changing Rate of Major Depression (1992)2. A Methodological Comparison of Age-Period-Cohort Models: The Intrinsic Estimator and Conventional Generalized Linear Models (2004)Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Sequences in the Study of Age and Generation Effects (2009)CHAPMAN AND HALL (1985)On conditional and intrinsic autoregressions (1995)Spatial and spatio-temporal models with R-INLA (2013)Spatial and spatio-temporal models with R-INLA (2013)Spatial modeling with R‐INLA: A review (2018)Book Review: Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review (2006)Mortality Modelling and Forecasting: a Review of Methods (2008)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Gaussian Markov Random Fields (2005)Gaussian Markov Random Fields: Theory and Applications (2005)A Score Regression Approach to Assess Calibration of Continuous Probabilistic Predictions (2010)Age–period–cohort analysis in the 1870s: Diagrams, stereograms, and the basic differential equation (2011)Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear models for mortality projections with multiple populations (2015)World population prospects (1991)The Emergence of Lowest‐Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s (2002)World population stabilization unlikely this century (2014)Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study (2020)The Cohort Effect: Insights and Explanations (2004)Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (2024)
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References

  • 1992Modeling and Forecasting U. S. Mortality2,347 cited
  • 2006Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach692 cited
  • 1983The Estimation of Age, Period and Cohort Effects for Vital Rates615 cited
  • 2000Bayesian modelling of inseparable space‐time variation in disease risk610 cited
  • 2011Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries249 cited
  • 2008Demographic Forecasting161 cited
  • 2007Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort Modeling and Prediction -BAMP111 cited
  • 1934Death-Rates in Great Britain and Sweden: Expression of Specific Mortality Rates as Products of Two Factors, and some Consequences thereof98 cited
  • 1927Observations on (1) Errors of age in the population statistics of England and Wales, and (2) the changes in mortality indicated by the national records74 cited
  • 2009The analysis of heterogeneous time trends in multivariate age–period–cohort models54 cited
  • 1993Bayesian Inference on the Lexis Diagram31 cited

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