On the distribution of tail array sums for strongly mixing stationary sequences

Abstract

This paper concerns the asymptotic distributions of "tail array" sums of the form $\Sigma \Psi_n (X_i - u_n)$ where ${X_i}$ is a strongly mixing stationary sequence, $\Psi_n$ are real functions which are constant for negative arguments, $\Psi_n (x) = \Psi_n (X_+)$ and ${u_n}$ are levels with $u_n \to \infty$. Compound Poisson limits for rapid convergence of $u_n \to \infty (nP{X_1 > u_n} \to \tau < \infty)$ are considered briefly and a more detailed account given for normal limits applicable to slower rates $(nP(X_1 > u_n) \to \infty)$. The work is motivated by (1) the modeling of "damage" due to very high and moderately high extremes and (2) the provision of probabilistic theory for application to problems of "tail inference" for stationary sequences.

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