SZodixStudyAcademic Library
ShelvesOpen access
Study · an open academic library·Metadata from OpenAlex (CC0)·Shelves·OpenAlex metadata, de-duplicated
When the Unreal is More Likely Than the Real: Post Hoc Probability Judgements and Counterfactual Closeness
16 references·16 citing·29 second hopsampled
When the Unreal is More Likely Than the Real: Post Hoc Probability Judgements and Counterfactual Closeness (1998)When the Unreal is More Likely Than the R…What Might Have Been (2014)What Might Have BeenCounterfactual thinking. (1997)Counterfactual thinking.What might have been: the social psychology of counterfactual thinking (1996)What might have been: the soc…When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists. (1995)When less is more: Counterfac…When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists. (1995)When less is more: Counterfac…The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis (1991)The hindsight bias: A meta-an…Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known. (1990)Hindsight: Biased judgments o…Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives. (1986)Norm theory: Comparing realit…Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. (1984)Judgment Under Uncertainty: H…The simulation heuristic (1982)The simulation heuristicJudgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution (1982)Judgment under uncertainty: C…Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)Judgment under UncertaintyThe Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice (1981)The Framing of Decisions and …Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgment under Uncertainty: H…I knew it would happen (1975)I knew it would happenSubjective probability: A judgment of representativeness (1972)Subjective probability: A jud…The Bidirectional Relation Between Counterfactual Thinking and Closeness, Controllability, and Exceptionality (2022)The Bidirectional Relation Be…What Is Epistemic Entitlement? (2020)What Is Epistemic Entitlement?Virtue Theoretic Epistemology: New Methods and Approaches (2020)Virtue Theoretic Epistemology…Closed-Mindedness As an Intellectual Vice (2020)Closed-Mindedness As an Intel…AESTHETIC RISK (2018)AESTHETIC RISKAnti-risk epistemology and negative epistemic dependence (2017)Anti-risk epistemology and ne…Thinking that one's life was in danger: perceived life threat in individuals directly or indirectly exposed to terror (2016)Thinking that one's life was …A Magnitude Effect in Judgments of Subjective Closeness (2015)A Magnitude Effect in Judgmen…The Modal Account of Luck (2014)The Modal Account of LuckGoing to the other extreme: Counterfactual thinking leads to polarised judgements (2011)Going to the other extreme: C…Counterfactual closeness and predicted affect (2011)Counterfactual closeness and …Herding by attribution of privileged information (2008)Herding by attribution of pri…Metacognitive Experiences and Hindsight Bias: It's Not Just the Thought (Content) That Counts! (2007)Metacognitive Experiences and…The Propensity Effect (2006)The Propensity EffectThe proximity heuristic in judgments of accident probabilities (2005)The proximity heuristic in ju…Twisted Pair: Counterfactual Thinking and the Hindsight Bias (2004)Twisted Pair: Counterfactual …Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability (1973)On the psychology of prediction. (1973)Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty (1992)An Inventory for Measuring Depression (1961)Belief, Attitude, Intention and Behavior: An Introduction to Theory and Research (1975)Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk (1979)A Continuum of Impression Formation, from Category-Based to Individuating Processes: Influences of Information and Motivation on Attention and Interpretation (1990)Well-being : the foundations of hedonic psychology (1999)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment (1971)EFFICIENT CAPITAL MARKETS: A REVIEW OF THEORY AND EMPIRICAL WORK* (1970)Human Problem Solving (1972)HARKing: Hypothesizing After the Results are Known (1998)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Why Measure Performance? Different Purposes Require Different Measures (2003)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Perception of Risk (1987)Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk (1988)Toward a Theory of Situation Awareness in Dynamic Systems (1995)Framing Processes and Social Movements: An Overview and Assessment (2000)Mirror neurons and the simulation theory of mind-reading (1998)Core affect and the psychological construction of emotion. (2003)Those Who Understand: Knowledge Growth in Teaching (1986)The weirdest people in the world? (2010)The psychology of doing nothing: Forms of decision avoidance result from reason and emotion. (2003)How Emotion Shapes Behavior: Feedback, Anticipation, and Reflection, Rather Than Direct Causation (2007)Constructive and unconstructive repetitive thought. (2008)Introduction: epistemic communities and international policy coordination (1992)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)
this work references cited by second hop· second hop is a sample of the most-cited connections

References

  • 1975Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases22,647 cited
  • 1981The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice17,834 cited
  • 1982Judgment under Uncertainty8,238 cited
  • 1984Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.5,656 cited
  • 1972Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness4,876 cited
  • 1982Judgment under uncertainty: Causality and attribution4,616 cited
  • 1986Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives.3,027 cited
  • 1982The simulation heuristic1,586 cited
  • 1997Counterfactual thinking.1,151 cited
  • 1990Hindsight: Biased judgments of past events after the outcomes are known.854 cited
  • 1975I knew it would happen716 cited
  • 1996What might have been: the social psychology of counterfactual thinking522 cited
  • 2014What Might Have Been486 cited
  • 1991The hindsight bias: A meta-analysis448 cited
  • 1995When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists.374 cited
  • 1995When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists.

Only edges whose both ends are imported exist here. Widen the year window, or show the whole map. Back to the work

369 cited

Cited by

  • 2014The Modal Account of Luck113 cited
  • 2016Thinking that one's life was in danger: perceived life threat in individuals directly or indirectly exposed to terror62 cited
  • 2020Virtue Theoretic Epistemology: New Methods and Approaches61 cited
  • 2007Metacognitive Experiences and Hindsight Bias: It's Not Just the Thought (Content) That Counts!39 cited
  • 2017Anti-risk epistemology and negative epistemic dependence39 cited
  • 2005The proximity heuristic in judgments of accident probabilities38 cited
  • 2004Twisted Pair: Counterfactual Thinking and the Hindsight Bias33 cited
  • 2006The Propensity Effect32 cited
  • 2008Herding by attribution of privileged information29 cited
  • 2020Closed-Mindedness As an Intellectual Vice24 cited
  • 2020What Is Epistemic Entitlement?20 cited
  • 2018AESTHETIC RISK18 cited
  • 2011Going to the other extreme: Counterfactual thinking leads to polarised judgements14 cited
  • 2011Counterfactual closeness and predicted affect11 cited
  • 2022The Bidirectional Relation Between Counterfactual Thinking and Closeness, Controllability, and Exceptionality10 cited
  • 2015A Magnitude Effect in Judgments of Subjective Closeness9 cited