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Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts
16 references·16 citing·37 second hopsampled
Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts (2009)Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit …Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss? (2008)Biases in Macroeconomic Forec…Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability (2006)Tests of Conditional Predicti…Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis (2004)Using out-of-sample mean squa…Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set (2004)Combination forecasts of outp…Analyzing the Analysts: Career Concerns and Biased Earnings Forecasts (2003)Analyzing the Analysts: Caree…A real-time data set for macroeconomists (2001)A real-time data set for macr…The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)The M3-Competition: results, …Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory* (2000)Monetary Policy Rules and Mac…A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series (1999)A Comparison of Linear and No…Comparing Predictive Accuracy (1994)Comparing Predictive AccuracyIntroducing: The Survey of Professional Forecasters (1993)Introducing: The Survey of Pr…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)Combining forecasts: A review…Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)Combining forecasts: A review…Was It Real? The Exchange Rate‐Interest Differential Relation over the Modern Floating‐Rate Period (1988)Was It Real? 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References

  • 1994Comparing Predictive Accuracy5,495 cited
  • 2000Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory*4,631 cited
  • 1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography2,170 cited
  • 2000The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications1,700 cited
  • 2006Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability1,667 cited
  • 2003Analyzing the Analysts: Career Concerns and Biased Earnings Forecasts1,471 cited
  • 1990Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography1,465 cited
  • 1984Improved methods of combining forecasts1,152 cited
  • 2004Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven‐country data set1,138 cited
  • 1988Was It Real? The Exchange Rate‐Interest Differential Relation over the Modern Floating‐Rate Period825 cited
  • 2001A real-time data set for macroeconomists787 cited
  • 1999A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Univariate Models for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series446 cited
  • 1993Introducing: The Survey of Professional Forecasters289 cited
  • 2008Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?272 cited
  • 2004Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the Martingale difference hypothesis

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247 cited
  • 1983Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts226 cited
  • Cited by

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    • 2016Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting67 cited
    • 2010Assessing the temporal variation of macroeconomic forecasts by a panel of changing composition64 cited
    • 2011Averaging and the optimal combination of forecasts61 cited
    • 2021Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States58 cited
    • 2012Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions58 cited
    • 2010Scoring rules and survey density forecasts56 cited
    • 2020Aggregating predictions from experts: A review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications51 cited
    • 2011How Informative are the Subjective Density Forecasts of Macroeconomists?45 cited
    • 2019Forecaster Overconfidence and Market Survey Performance43 cited
    • 2020Answering the Queen: Machine Learning and Financial Crises42 cited
    • 2019Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage42 cited
    • 2015Disagreement versus uncertainty: Evidence from distribution forecasts39 cited
    • 2017Expected Business Conditions and Bond Risk Premia33 cited
    • 2017Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters20 cited