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Non-linear forecasting of stock returns: Does volume help?
16 references·5 citing·43 second hop
Non-linear forecasting of stock returns: Does volume help? (2007)Non-linear forecasting of stock returns: …The Econometrics of Financial Markets (2012)The Econometrics of Financial…Cointegration and Threshold Adjustment (2001)Cointegration and Threshold A…A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreaction in Asset Markets (1999)A Unified Theory of Underreac…Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment With an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates (1998)Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetri…Liquidity and stock returns: An alternative test (1998)Liquidity and stock returns: …Alternative factor specifications, security characteristics, and the cross-section of expected stock returns1We are especially grateful to Eugene Fama (a referee), an anonymous referee and Bill Schwert (the editor) for insightful and constructive suggestions. We also thank Wayne Ferson, Ken French, Will Goetzmann, Craig Holden, Ravi Jagannathan, Bob Jennings, Bruce Lehmann, Josef Lakonishok, Richard Roll, participants at the 1997 Meetings of the Western Finance Association, the 1997 UCLA/USC/UC Irvine conference, the November 1997 Asset Pricing Meeting of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the Atlanta Forum, and seminars at Columbia, Indiana, Florida, New York, Tulane, and Yale Universities; Eugene Fama and Ken French for providing part of the data used in this study; and Christoph Schenzler for excellent programming assistance. The second author acknowledges support from the Dean's Fund for Research and the Financial Markets Research Center at Vanderbilt University. We are responsible for remaining errors. This paper was formerly titled `A Re-Examination of Security Return Anomalies'.1 (1998)Alternative factor specificat…A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1 (1998)A model of investor sentiment…Threshold Cointegration (1997)Threshold CointegrationPredictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance (1995)Predictability of Stock Retur…Market Statistics and Technical Analysis: The Role of Volume (1994)Market Statistics and Technic…Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation (1994)Automatic Lag Selection in Co…Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns (1993)Trading Volume and Serial Cor…The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns (1993)The Risk and Predictability o…Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations (1991)Production-Based Asset Pricin…The Relation Between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey (1987)The Relation Between Price Ch…A model of investor sentiment /A model of investor sentiment…Nonlinearity matters: The stock price – trading volume relation revisited (2020)Nonlinearity matters: The sto…Nonlinearity in stock returns: Do risk aversion, investor sentiment and, monetary policy shocks matter? (2020)Nonlinearity in stock returns…The relationship between trading activity and stock market volatility: Does the volume threshold matter? (2019)The relationship between trad…The dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume revisited: A MODWT-VAR approach (2018)The dynamic relationship betw…Artificial intelligence applications in financial forecasting – a survey and some empirical results (2014)Artificial intelligence appli…Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests (1973)The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns (1992)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)Breadth of ownership and stock returns (2002)Market liquidity as a sentiment indicator (2004)Short sales, institutional investors and the cross-section of stock returns (2005)Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series (1982)Testing for Common Trends (1988)Financial development and economic growth: evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests (2003)Asymmetric Price Transmission: A Survey (2004)Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders (1985)Stock price reaction to news and no-news: drift and reversal after headlines (2003)Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets (2007)Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? (1989)Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets (1990)Testing for Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality in the Stock Price- Volume Relation (1994)Price Momentum and Trading Volume (2000)The Sum of All FEARS Investor Sentiment and Asset Prices (2014)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)The Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements (1968)A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices (1973)Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race (1993)Market liquidity and volume around earnings announcements (1994)Autoregressive Conditional Duration: A New Model for Irregularly Spaced Transaction Data (1998)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance1The comments of Brad Barber, David Hirshleifer, S.P. Kothari, Owen Lamont, Mark Mitchell, Hersh Shefrin, Robert Shiller, Rex Sinquefield, Richard Thaler, Theo Vermaelen, Robert Vishny, Ivo Welch, and a referee have been helpful. Kenneth French and Jay Ritter get special thanks.1 (1998)Bad News Travels Slowly: Size, Analyst Coverage, and the Profitability of Momentum Strategies (2000)Capital markets research in accounting (2001)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency (1993)Integración de los mercados financieros Latinoamericanos por medio de MILA (2020)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions (1998)In Search of Attention (2011)MONEY, INCOME, AND CAUSALITY (1972)Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (1986)Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation (1991)Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk (2001)Individualism and Momentum around the World (2010)Sentiment During Recessions (2012)The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country (2003)Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market (2007)Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity (2008)
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References

  • 2012The Econometrics of Financial Markets5,875 cited
  • n.d.A model of investor sentiment /4,073 cited
  • 1999A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreaction in Asset Markets4,018 cited
  • 1994Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation3,242 cited
  • 1998A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.12,865 cited
  • 1987The Relation Between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey2,380 cited
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  • 1998Liquidity and stock returns: An alternative test1,318 cited
  • 1998Unit-Root Tests and Asymmetric Adjustment With an Example Using the Term Structure of Interest Rates1,203 cited
  • 1998Alternative factor specifications, security characteristics, and the cross-section of expected stock returns1We are especially grateful to Eugene Fama (a referee), an anonymous referee and Bill Schwert (the editor) for insightful and constructive suggestions. We also thank Wayne Ferson, Ken French, Will Goetzmann, Craig Holden, Ravi Jagannathan, Bob Jennings, Bruce Lehmann, Josef Lakonishok, Richard Roll, participants at the 1997 Meetings of the Western Finance Association, the 1997 UCLA/USC/UC Irvine conference, the November 1997 Asset Pricing Meeting of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the Atlanta Forum, and seminars at Columbia, Indiana, Florida, New York, Tulane, and Yale Universities; Eugene Fama and Ken French for providing part of the data used in this study; and Christoph Schenzler for excellent programming assistance. The second author acknowledges support from the Dean's Fund for Research and the Financial Markets Research Center at Vanderbilt University. We are responsible for remaining errors. This paper was formerly titled `A Re-Examination of Security Return Anomalies'.1

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1,197 cited
  • 2001Cointegration and Threshold Adjustment1,149 cited
  • 1991Production-Based Asset Pricing and the Link Between Stock Returns and Economic Fluctuations1,125 cited
  • 1994Market Statistics and Technical Analysis: The Role of Volume1,105 cited
  • 1993The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns1,065 cited
  • 1997Threshold Cointegration1,042 cited
  • 1995Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance1,034 cited
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    • 2020Nonlinearity in stock returns: Do risk aversion, investor sentiment and, monetary policy shocks matter?41 cited
    • 2018The dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume revisited: A MODWT-VAR approach39 cited
    • 2014Artificial intelligence applications in financial forecasting – a survey and some empirical results34 cited
    • 2019The relationship between trading activity and stock market volatility: Does the volume threshold matter?29 cited
    • 2020Nonlinearity matters: The stock price – trading volume relation revisited25 cited