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The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games
16 references·1 citing·49 second hopsampled
The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games (2007)The comparative accuracy of judgmental an…Predicting the World Cup 2002 in soccer: Performance and confidence of experts and non-experts (2005)Predicting the World Cup 2002…Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English football (2005)Odds-setters as forecasters: …The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market (2004)The value of statistical fore…Principles of Forecasting. A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners (2002)Principles of Forecasting. A …Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games (2002)Predicting the outcomes of Na…Principles of Forecasting (2001)Principles of ForecastingJudgmental Bootstrapping: Inferring Experts’ Rules for Forecasting (2001)Judgmental Bootstrapping: Inf…Forecasting sport: the behaviour and performance of football tipsters (2000)Forecasting sport: the behavi…Identifying Investor Sentiment from Price Paths: The Case of Football Betting (1999)Identifying Investor Sentimen…The Economics of Wagering Markets (1998)The Economics of Wagering Mar…Integration of statistical methods and judgment for time series forecasting: principles from empirical research (1998)Integration of statistical me…The role and validity of judgment in forecasting (1996)The role and validity of judg…Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature (1996)Judgemental and statistical t…Interaction of Judgemental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues & Analysis (1991)Interaction of Judgemental an…Testing Rationality in the Point Spread Betting Market (1988)Testing Rationality in the Po…Beyond heuristics and biases: A contingency model of judgemental forecasting (1986)Beyond heuristics and biases:…Online bookmakers’ odds as forecasts: The case of European soccer leagues (2009)Online bookmakers’ odds as fo…Forecasting methods and applications (1993)Forecasting: Methods and Applications (1999)The Economics of Football (2001)Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25years (2006)The 12th Man?: Refereeing Bias in English and German Soccer (2009)Forecasting: theory and practice (2022)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1974)Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 (1982)The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions. (1995)The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis (1999)Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability (2002)The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. (1956)Book Review: Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)The efficacy of using judgmental versus quantitative forecasting methods in practice (2003)Technological Forecasting in Perspective (1966)Technological forecasting for decision making (1972)Technological forecasting for decisionmaking (1973)Another look at measures of forecast accuracy (2006)Review on multi-criteria decision analysis aid in sustainable energy decision-making (2009)Consensus measurement in Delphi studies (2012)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, by John Maynard Keynes (1936)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing (2001)Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather (2003)Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market (2003)American Economic Review (2019)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Belief in the law of small numbers. (1971)Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases (1975)Judgmental selection of forecasting models (2018)Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements (1961)Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends? (1980)Judgment under Uncertainty (1982)The degree of inefficiency in the football betting market Statistical tests (1991)Informed Traders and Price Variations in the Betting Market for Professional Basketball Games (1998)Information and efficiency: an empirical study of a fixed odds betting market (2000)The Utility Analysis of Choices Involving Risk (1948)The Utility of Wealth (1952)Efficient Capital Markets: II (1991)OUTCOME UNCERTAINTY AND THE COUCH POTATO AUDIENCE (2005)Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football (2009)REFERENCE‐DEPENDENT PREFERENCES, LOSS AVERSION, AND LIVE GAME ATTENDANCE (2014)Construct validity in psychological tests. (1955)Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function (1957)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. (1978)Media Bias and Reputation (2006)Predicting Wimbledon 2005 tennis results by mere player name recognition (2007)Forecasting sports tournaments by ratings of (prob)abilities: A comparison for the EURO 2008 (2009)
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References

  • 2001Principles of Forecasting1,930 cited
  • 2002Principles of Forecasting. A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners530 cited
  • 1998The Economics of Wagering Markets381 cited
  • 2005Odds-setters as forecasters: The case of English football213 cited
  • 1991Interaction of Judgemental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues & Analysis187 cited
  • 1988Testing Rationality in the Point Spread Betting Market181 cited
  • 1996Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature177 cited
  • 1999Identifying Investor Sentiment from Price Paths: The Case of Football Betting173 cited
  • 1996The role and validity of judgment in forecasting125 cited
  • 2002Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games120 cited
  • 2000Forecasting sport: the behaviour and performance of football tipsters118 cited
  • 2005Predicting the World Cup 2002 in soccer: Performance and confidence of experts and non-experts100 cited
  • 2004The value of statistical forecasts in the UK association football betting market99 cited
  • 1998Integration of statistical methods and judgment for time series forecasting: principles from empirical research97 cited
  • 2001Judgmental Bootstrapping: Inferring Experts’ Rules for Forecasting

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78 cited
  • 1986Beyond heuristics and biases: A contingency model of judgemental forecasting38 cited
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    • 2009Online bookmakers’ odds as forecasts: The case of European soccer leagues47 cited