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Trends and cycles in economic time series: A Bayesian approach
12 references·16 citing·39 second hop
Trends and cycles in economic time series: A Bayesian approach (2006)Trends and cycles in economic time series…General Model-Based Filters for Extracting Cycles and Trends in Economic Time Series (2003)General Model-Based Filters f…Cyclical Properties of Baxter-King Filtered Time Series (2003)Cyclical Properties of Baxter…The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time (2002)The Unreliability of Output-G…Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation (2002)Dissecting the cycle: a metho…Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series (1999)Measuring Business Cycles: Ap…Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation (1997)Postwar U.S. Business Cycles:…Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series Implications for business cycle research (1995)Effects of the Hodrick-Presco…Estimating Potential Output as a Latent Variable (1994)Estimating Potential Output a…Detrending, stylized facts and the business cycle (1993)Detrending, stylized facts an…Lectures on Macroeconomics. (1990)Lectures on Macroeconomics.Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter (1990)Forecasting, Structural Time …Measuring Business Cycles (1947)Measuring Business CyclesA Model of the Fed's View on Inflation (2020)A Model of the Fed's View on …IS BUSINESS CYCLE ASYMMETRY INTRINSIC IN INDUSTRIALIZED ECONOMIES? (2019)IS BUSINESS CYCLE ASYMMETRY I…A menu on output gap estimation methods (2018)A menu on output gap estimati…Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter (2017)Intuitive and Reliable Estima…Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter (2016)Reconciling output gaps: Unob…Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter (2016)Intuitive and Reliable Estima…An Inflation-Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area (2016)An Inflation-Predicting Measu…The trend–cycle decomposition of output and the Phillips curve: Bayesian estimates for Italy and the Euro area (2015)The trend–cycle decomposition…Under/Over-Valuation of the Stock Market and Cyclically Adjusted Earnings (2011)Under/Over-Valuation of the S…Modelling Italian Potential Output and the Output Gap (2011)Modelling Italian Potential O…Modelling the Phillips curve with unobserved components (2010)Modelling the Phillips curve …Extracting a robust US business cycle using a time‐varying multivariate model‐based bandpass filter (2010)Extracting a robust US busine…The relationship between the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition and other permanent–transitory decompositions that are popular in economics (2008)The relationship between the …Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of model uncertainty (2008)Real time representation of t…Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast (2006)Why Has U.S. Inflation Become…Chapter 7 Forecasting with Unobserved Components Time Series Models (2006)Chapter 7 Forecasting with Un…A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the ‘business cycle’ (1981)Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations (1982)Production, growth and business cycles (1988)Detrending and business cycle facts (1998)The Differential Regional Effects of Monetary Policy (1998)Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk* (2018)King Charles I (1981)A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle (1989)Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery (2008)When Credit Bites Back (2013)How Regions React to Recessions: Resilience and the Role of Economic Structure (2016)Econometric policy evaluation: A critique (1976)Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model (1998)The robustness of Okun's law: Evidence from OECD countries (2000)Whither Monetary and Financial Stability? The Implications of Evolving Policy Regimes (2007)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, by John Maynard Keynes (1936)The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. (1936)Macroeconomics and Reality (1980)The Band Pass Filter (1999)On Adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott Filter for the Frequency of Observations (2002)Measuring Uncertainty (2015)Tests For Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation (1988)The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis (1989)5 Stochastic volatility (1996)Forecasting inflation (1999)Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices (2003)Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing (1987)An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output (2002)Disagreement about Inflation Expectations (2003)The quest for prosperity without inflation (2003)New Evidence on the Interest Rate Effects of Budget Deficits and Debt (2009)Economic Growth and Convergence across The United States (1990)The Theory of Incentives: The Principal-Agent Model (2001)On the Empirics of Foreign Aid and Growth (2004)Understanding business cycles (1977)Can News About the Future Drive the Business Cycle? (2006)Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root (1992)Handbook on Constructing Composite Indicators (2005)Handbook on Constructing Composite Indicators: Methodology and User Guide (2008)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1997Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation7,358 cited
  • 1990Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter4,101 cited
  • 1999Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series2,829 cited
  • 2002Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation1,504 cited
  • 1947Measuring Business Cycles1,481 cited
  • 1993Detrending, stylized facts and the business cycle1,202 cited
  • 2002The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time944 cited
  • 1990Lectures on Macroeconomics.924 cited
  • 1995Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series Implications for business cycle research869 cited
  • 1994Estimating Potential Output as a Latent Variable452 cited
  • 2003General Model-Based Filters for Extracting Cycles and Trends in Economic Time Series292 cited
  • 2003Cyclical Properties of Baxter-King Filtered Time Series136 cited

Cited by

  • 2017Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter123 cited
  • 2015The trend–cycle decomposition of output and the Phillips curve: Bayesian estimates for Italy and the Euro area110 cited
  • 2016

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An Inflation-Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area
102 cited
  • 2018A menu on output gap estimation methods97 cited
  • 2006Chapter 7 Forecasting with Unobserved Components Time Series Models91 cited
  • 2010Modelling the Phillips curve with unobserved components72 cited
  • 2006Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast65 cited
  • 2020A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation64 cited
  • 2016Reconciling output gaps: Unobserved components model and Hodrick–Prescott filter55 cited
  • 2008The relationship between the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition and other permanent–transitory decompositions that are popular in economics55 cited
  • 2010Extracting a robust US business cycle using a time‐varying multivariate model‐based bandpass filter48 cited
  • 2019IS BUSINESS CYCLE ASYMMETRY INTRINSIC IN INDUSTRIALIZED ECONOMIES?41 cited
  • 2011Modelling Italian Potential Output and the Output Gap33 cited
  • 2016Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter33 cited
  • 2011Under/Over-Valuation of the Stock Market and Cyclically Adjusted Earnings29 cited
  • 2008Real time representation of the UK output gap in the presence of model uncertainty27 cited