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Exponential smoothing with a damped multiplicative trend
9 references·16 citing·31 second hop
Exponential smoothing with a damped multiplicative trend (2003)Exponential smoothing with a damped multi…A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods (2002)A state space framework for a…The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications (2000)The M3-Competition: results, …On the asymmetry of the symmetric MAPE (1999)On the asymmetry of the symme…Forecasting: Methods and Applications (1999)Forecasting: Methods and Appl…Forecasting methods and applications (1993)Forecasting methods and appli…Holt-Winters Forecasting: Some Practical Issues (1988)Holt-Winters Forecasting: Som…Forecasting Trends in Time Series (1985)Forecasting Trends in Time Se…Exponential smoothing: The state of the art (1985)Exponential smoothing: The st…The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition (1982)The accuracy of extrapolation…Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19 (2021)Forecasting tourism recovery …Forecasting carbon emissions due to electricity power generation in Bahrain (2021)Forecasting carbon emissions …Judgmental selection of forecasting models (2018)Judgmental selection of forec…A hybrid ETS–ANN model for time series forecasting (2017)A hybrid ETS–ANN model for ti…Demand forecasting with four-parameter exponential smoothing (2016)Demand forecasting with four-…Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies (2014)Improving forecasting by esti…Demand forecasting by temporal aggregation (2013)Demand forecasting by tempora…Avoiding the bullwhip effect using Damped Trend forecasting and the Order-Up-To replenishment policy (2013)Avoiding the bullwhip effect …Combining statistical and judgmental forecasts via a web-based tourism demand forecasting system (2012)Combining statistical and jud…The tourism forecasting competition (2010)The tourism forecasting compe…Meta-learning for time series forecasting and forecast combination (2010)Meta-learning for time series…Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review (2009)Forecasting for inventory pla…An overview of accident forecasting methodologies (2009)An overview of accident forec…Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism (2008)Hierarchical forecasts for Au…Forecasting and operational research: a review (2008)Forecasting and operational r…Smooth transition exponential smoothing (2004)Smooth transition exponential…Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages (1960)Time Series Analysis, Forecasting, and Control (1995)Forecasting Economic Time Series (2000)A New Look at Models For Exponential Smoothing (2001)Long lead-time forecasting of UK air passengers by Holt–Winters methods with damped trend (2001)Cryptocurrency price prediction using traditional statistical and machine‐learning techniques: A survey (2021)Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons (1992)To combine or not to combine: selecting among forecasts and their combinations (2004)Advances in forecasting with neural networks? Empirical evidence from the NN3 competition on time series prediction (2011)Prediction‐Oriented Model Selection in Partial Least Squares Path Modeling (2018)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1989)25 years of time series forecasting (2006)Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward (2018)Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions (2020)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Forecasting Time Series With Complex Seasonal Patterns Using Exponential Smoothing (2011)The Combination of Forecasts (1969)Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (1977)Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography (1990)An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts (1963)Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships (2001)Tourism demand modelling and forecasting—A review of recent research (2007)A review of early COVID-19 research in tourism: Launching the Annals of Tourism Research's Curated Collection on coronavirus and tourism (2021)Would you enjoy virtual travel? The characteristics and causes of virtual tourists’ sentiment under the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic (2021)Two years of COVID-19 and tourism: what we learned, and what we should have learned (2022)World Soybean Production: Area Harvested, Yield, and Long-Term Projections (2009)A new metric of absolute percentage error for intermittent demand forecasts (2016)The M4 Competition: 100,000 time series and 61 forecasting methods (2019)The theta model: a decomposition approach to forecasting (2000)Improved supply chain management based on hybrid demand forecasts (2005)Can Google data improve the forecasting performance of tourist arrivals? Mixed-data sampling approach (2014)
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References

  • 1993Forecasting methods and applications2,393 cited
  • 2000The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications1,700 cited
  • 1982The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition1,465 cited
  • 1985Exponential smoothing: The state of the art1,461 cited
  • 2002A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods1,074 cited
  • 1999Forecasting: Methods and Applications626 cited
  • 1985Forecasting Trends in Time Series399 cited
  • 1988Holt-Winters Forecasting: Some Practical Issues330 cited
  • 1999On the asymmetry of the symmetric MAPE329 cited

Cited by

  • 2021Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19404 cited
  • 2008Forecasting and operational research: a review287 cited
  • 2010The tourism forecasting competition286 cited
  • 2008Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism244 cited
  • 2010Meta-learning for time series forecasting and forecast combination244 cited
  • 2017A hybrid ETS–ANN model for time series forecasting217 cited
  • 2014

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Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies
184 cited
  • 2018Judgmental selection of forecasting models166 cited
  • 2009Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review146 cited
  • 2021Forecasting carbon emissions due to electricity power generation in Bahrain116 cited
  • 2012Combining statistical and judgmental forecasts via a web-based tourism demand forecasting system98 cited
  • 2004Smooth transition exponential smoothing92 cited
  • 2009An overview of accident forecasting methodologies91 cited
  • 2016Demand forecasting with four-parameter exponential smoothing78 cited
  • 2013Demand forecasting by temporal aggregation75 cited
  • 2013Avoiding the bullwhip effect using Damped Trend forecasting and the Order-Up-To replenishment policy73 cited