AGE, DIFFERENTIAL EXPECTATIONS, AND CRIME DESISTANCE*

Neal Shover · Carol Y. Thompson

182 citations0/0 files storedCriminology

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Crime Patterns and Interventions Criminal Justice and Penology Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis

Abstract

We specify an individual‐level model linking crime desistance to estimates of legal risk, differential expectations, degree of past success at legitimate and criminal pursuits, and age. OLS and logistic regression procedures are used to estimate the model using longitudinal data on serious, previously imprisoned offenders. As predicted, age decreases estimates of the likely payoffs from crime and legitimate employment. Contrary to predictions, age is unrelated to the perceived legal risk of renewed criminal participation. Age, past success at avoiding confinement, expectations of success from crime, and level of education are significant predictors of crime desistance. Neither the perceived legal risk of crime nor expectations of success through straight pursuits significantly predict desistance. We suggest an interpretation for these anomalous findings.

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References

1990A General Theory of Crime 1983Crime and justice: An annual review of research 1973Deviant behavior;: A social learning approach 1990Crime and Deviance over the Life Course: The Salience of Adult Social Bonds 1990Conscience, Significant Others, and Rational Choice: Extending the Deterrence Model 1987Life-span Development and Behavior 1988CRIMINAL CAREER RESEARCH: ITS VALUE FOR CRIMINOLOGY*1981Sanctions and Social Deviance: The Question of Deterrence.

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2003An Integrated Theory Of The Adolescent Peak In Offending 1992The Socially Bounded Decision Making of Persistent Property Offenders 2011Incarceration, education and transition from delinquency 2014Desistance From Sexual Offending 2002The Criminal Career

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