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An Examination of Risk-Return Relationship in Bull and Bear Markets Using Time-Varying Betas
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An Examination of Risk-Return Relationship in Bull and Bear Markets Using Time-Varying Betas (1982)An Examination of Risk-Return Relationshi…An Analysis of Risk in Bull and Bear Markets (1979)An Analysis of Risk in Bull a…Beta as a Random Coefficient (1978)Beta as a Random CoefficientSTABILITY TESTS FOR ALPHAS AND BETAS OVER BULL AND BEAR MARKET CONDITIONS (1977)STABILITY TESTS FOR ALPHAS AN…THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.] (1975)THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS …ON THE ASSESSMENT OF RISK: SOME FURTHER CONSIDERATIONS (1974)ON THE ASSESSMENT OF RISK: SO…On the Short-Term Stationarity of Beta Coefficients (1971)On the Short-Term Stationarit…Risk, The Pricing of Capital Assets, and The Evaluation of Investment Portfolios (1969)Risk, The Pricing of Capital …Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market (1966)Equilibrium in a Capital Asse…CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK* (1964)CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEOR…Economic Forecasts and Policy (1962)Economic Forecasts and PolicyReturn and volatility interdependences in up and down markets across developed and emerging countries (2015)Return and volatility interde…Intertemporal risk–return relationships in bull and bear markets (2015)Intertemporal risk–return rel…Branding and Firm Value (2012)Branding and Firm ValueTesting the relation between beta and returns in the Athens stock exchange (2010)Testing the relation between …Does beta react to market conditions? Estimates of ‘bull’ and ‘bear’ betas using a nonlinear market model with an endogenous threshold parameter (2009)Does beta react to market con…Direction‐of‐change forecasting using a volatility‐based recurrent neural network (2008)Direction‐of‐change forecasti…Does downside beta matter in asset pricing? (2007)Does downside beta matter in …A review of capital asset pricing models (2007)A review of capital asset pri…Asymmetric risk measures when modelling emerging markets equities: evidence for regional and timing effects (2004)Asymmetric risk measures when…Time-Varying Betas Help in Asset Pricing: The Threshold CAPM (2003)Time-Varying Betas Help in As…Tests of regimes - switching CAPM (2000)Tests of regimes - switching …Small Sample Analysis of Performance Measures in the Asymmetric Response Model (2000)Small Sample Analysis of Perf…Dividend Yields and Stock Returns: Evidence of Time Variation between Bull and Bear Markets (1993)Dividend Yields and Stock Ret…A Shifting Regimes Approach to the Stationarity of the Market Model Parameters of Individual Securities (1986)A Shifting Regimes Approach t…The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets (1965)Further Evidence on the Stationarity of Beta Coefficients (1978)The Effect of Intervaling on Estimating Parameters of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (1978)On the Estimation and Stability of Beta (1980)The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment (1958)Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares (1961)On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance (1997)The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment (2008)The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices (1965)Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing (1972)Duration Dependence in Stock Prices (2004)Calendar effects, market conditions and the Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence from long-run U.S. data (2014)Are stock markets really efficient? Evidence of the adaptive market hypothesis (2016)An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (1973)The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities (1973)Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous (1976)Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure (1976)Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds (1993)THE ADJUSTMENT OF BETA FORECASTS (1975)Stationarity of Market Risk: Random Coefficients Tests for Individual Stocks (1980)Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Betas (2005)Underreaction to Dividend Reductions and Omissions? (2008)A principal-component approach to measuring investor sentiment (2010)An Empirical Investigation of the Possibility of Stochastic Systematic Risk in the Market Model (1984)Time‐Varying Beta Risk of Australian Industry Portfolios: A Comparison of Modelling Techniques (1998)The determinants of CDS spreads (2013)Verification of Computer Simulation Models (1967)Validation, verification, and testing techniques throughout the life cycle of a simulation study (1994)A semiparametric approach to short-term oil price forecasting (2001)Performance Hypothesis Testing with the Sharpe and Treynor Measures (1981)Time-varying conditional covariances in tests of asset pricing models (1989)Measuring abnormal performance (1992)
this work references cited by second hop

References

  • 1964CAPITAL ASSET PRICES: A THEORY OF MARKET EQUILIBRIUM UNDER CONDITIONS OF RISK*19,431 cited
  • 1975THE VALUATION OF RISK ASSETS AND THE SELECTION OF RISKY INVESTMENTS IN STOCK PORTFOLIOS AND CAPITAL BUDGETS**This paper is another in a series of interrelated theoretical and statistical studies of corporate financial and investment policies being made under grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, and more recently the Ford Foundation, to the Harvard Business School. The generous support for this work is most gratefully acknowledged. The author is also much indebted to his colleagues Professors Bishop, Christenson, Kahr, Raiffa, and (especially) Schlaifer, for extensive discussion and commentary on an earlier draft of this paper; but responsibility for any errors or imperfections remains strictly his own.[Professor Sharpe's paper, “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk” (Journal of Finance, September 1964) appeared after this paper was in final form and on its way to the printers. My first section, which parallels the first half of his paper (with corresponding conclusions), sets the algebraic framework for sections II, III and VI, (which have no counterpart in his paper) and for section IV on the equilibrium prices of risk assets, concerning which our results differ significantly for reasons which will be explored elsewhere. Sharpe does not take up the capital budgeting problem developed in section V below.]6,743 cited
  • 1966Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market4,896 cited
  • 1969Risk, The Pricing of Capital Assets, and The Evaluation of Investment Portfolios941 cited
  • 1962Economic Forecasts and Policy415 cited
  • 1978Beta as a Random Coefficient385 cited
  • 1977STABILITY TESTS FOR ALPHAS AND BETAS OVER BULL AND BEAR MARKET CONDITIONS314 cited
  • 1971On the Short-Term Stationarity of Beta Coefficients227 cited
  • 1979An Analysis of Risk in Bull and Bear Markets127 cited

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  • 1974ON THE ASSESSMENT OF RISK: SOME FURTHER CONSIDERATIONS104 cited
  • Cited by

    • 2000Tests of regimes - switching CAPM75 cited
    • 2009Does beta react to market conditions? Estimates of ‘bull’ and ‘bear’ betas using a nonlinear market model with an endogenous threshold parameter58 cited
    • 2007Does downside beta matter in asset pricing?50 cited
    • 2003Time-Varying Betas Help in Asset Pricing: The Threshold CAPM46 cited
    • 2015Intertemporal risk–return relationships in bull and bear markets43 cited
    • 2008Direction‐of‐change forecasting using a volatility‐based recurrent neural network40 cited
    • 1986A Shifting Regimes Approach to the Stationarity of the Market Model Parameters of Individual Securities38 cited
    • 2015Return and volatility interdependences in up and down markets across developed and emerging countries36 cited
    • 2010Testing the relation between beta and returns in the Athens stock exchange36 cited
    • 2004Asymmetric risk measures when modelling emerging markets equities: evidence for regional and timing effects31 cited
    • 2007A review of capital asset pricing models30 cited
    • 2012Branding and Firm Value28 cited
    • 2000Small Sample Analysis of Performance Measures in the Asymmetric Response Model25 cited
    • 1993Dividend Yields and Stock Returns: Evidence of Time Variation between Bull and Bear Markets24 cited