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What can past technology forecasts tell us about the future? · Study

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ArticleWhat can past technology forecasts tell us about the future?

Richard E. Albright2002

Article2002

What can past technology forecasts tell us about the future?

Richard E. Albright

91 citations·0/0 files stored·Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting Forecasting Techniques and Applications Scientific Research and Philosophical Inquiry

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References

1968The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years, by Herman Kahn, Anthony J. Wiener 1969The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the next Thirty-three Years.1989MEGAMISTAKES: Forecasting and the Myth of Rapid Technological Change 1972Technology and the Future

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2004The over-optimism among experts in assessment and foresight 2008Using the Delphi Technique in Normative Planning Research: Methodological Design Considerations 2010The Strategy-Technology Firm Fit Audit: A guide to opportunity assessment and selection 2004Renewable energy technologies for irrigation water pumping in India: projected levels of dissemination, energy delivery and investment requirements using available diffusion models 2007Introducing errors in progress ratios determined from experience curves 2021Gamification to avoid cognitive biases: An experiment of gamifying a forecasting course 2012An examination of factors affecting accuracy in technology forecasts 2021Unveiling the knowledge structure of technological forecasting and social change (1969–2020) through an NMF-based hierarchical topic model

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Year2002

Typearticle

Published2002-06-01

VenueTechnological Forecasting and Social Change

ISSN-L0040-1625

Languageen

Citations91

Files0 public / 0

ShelfInnovation Diffusion and Forecasting

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doi10.1016/s0040-1625(02)00186-5

openalex_workW1992840510

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